- Lectura
- Metodología de los datos
- On-time percentage
The share of selected final provider predictions no more than five minutes early or late relative to schedule; arrivals are not independently measured.
- Definición
- The share of selected final provider predictions no more than five minutes early or late relative to schedule; arrivals are not independently measured.
- Fórmula
- 100 × COUNT(|settled prediction delay seconds| ≤ 300) ÷ COUNT(settled final provider predictions), rounded to one decimal place.
- Unidades
- percent of selected final feed predictions
- Población
- One last eligible provider prediction per scheduled trip, stop and Toronto calendar date; no independently measured arrival.
- Ventana de medición
- Route summaries: rolling 30 days. Route-hour evidence: recent 14-day scan.
- Cobertura
- Matched published predictions only. Numerator and denominator describe selected final feed predictions, not measured arrivals or all scheduled or operated trips.
- Elegibilidad para publicar
- Regular comparable bus routes; a route-hour needs at least 100 observations across at least three service days. Rail and purpose-specific routes are excluded from ordinary rankings.
- Alcance
- Route summaries use a rolling 30-day window. Recurring route-hour evidence uses the recent 14-day scan and is published only with at least 100 observations over at least three service days.
- Qué puede respaldar este número
- Schedule difference in final eligible feed predictions, not independently measured punctuality. It is not OC Transpo’s 99.5% service-delivery target, a cancellation rate, or proof that every scheduled trip ran.
- Fuentes e identificadores
- Método · Settled provider-prediction reliability method
last-prediction-within-ten-minutes-v1 - API actual · Current network reliability public API
reliability-evidence
- Método · Settled provider-prediction reliability method
Estado de implementación
- Fuente candidata
- Implementado en esta fuente candidata.
- Producción pública
- La versión corregida de la métrica está implementada en el código fuente. El despliegue público en producción y su verificación aún no están registrados.
Lee el estado antes de citar este número.
The final provider-prediction calculation is implemented in this source candidate. Public production verification for this corrected version is still not recorded.
Exclusiones
Predictions more than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival are excluded, and delays outside ±90 minutes are removed as timetable-wrap outliers.
OC Transpo rail is excluded because the operator does not publish realtime rail observations in the feed used by this method.
Incertidumbre e interpretación
The result describes matched published predictions, not every operated trip. Feed gaps and trip-matching limits can reduce coverage.
Current network evidence is recomputed and is not stored here as an immutable historical snapshot.
Datos probantes actuales
Historial de cambios
| Revisión | Fecha | Estado del registro | Motivo | Aprobación humana | Despliegue en producción |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| correction:reliability:2026-08-04:settled-v1:revision-1correction:reliability:2026-08-04:settled-v1 | Fuente completa; producción pendiente | El método anterior contaba las predicciones repetidas como llegadas independientes y trataba las salidas muy adelantadas como a tiempo. El método corregido conserva la última predicción hecha hasta diez minutos antes de cada llegada y usa una ventana de cinco minutos hacia cada lado. | A la espera del verificador independiente designado. No hay ninguna prueba de aprobación registrada. | Pendiente; no hay identificador de versión en producción ni hora de verificación registrada. |