- Lectura
- Metodología de los datos
- How late the worst 5 in 100 settled predictions were
Sort selected final predicted delays from least to greatest. This is the delay where about 5 predictions in 100 were equally late or later in the published route window.
- Definición
- Sort selected final predicted delays from least to greatest. This is the delay where about 5 predictions in 100 were equally late or later in the published route window.
- Fórmula
- PERCENTILE_DISC(0.95) ordered by settled delay seconds.
- Unidades
- seconds, displayed in minutes
- Población
- The same selected final provider predictions used by the on-time percentage.
- Ventana de medición
- Rolling 30-day route-health window.
- Cobertura
- Matched published predictions only; the discrete percentile selects a final predicted delay value.
- Elegibilidad para publicar
- Regular comparable bus routes with publishable final provider-prediction evidence; merged route variants with incompatible distributions withhold this percentile.
- Alcance
- Each route’s settled final provider predictions in the rolling 30-day route-health window.
- Qué puede respaldar este número
- An upper-tail final-prediction schedule difference: about five selected predictions in one hundred were this late or later. This is not an independently measured arrival.
- Fuentes e identificadores
- Método · Settled provider-prediction reliability method
last-prediction-within-ten-minutes-v1 - API actual · Current network reliability public API
reliability-evidence
- Método · Settled provider-prediction reliability method
Estado de implementación
- Fuente candidata
- Implementado en esta fuente candidata.
- Producción pública
- La versión corregida de la métrica está implementada en el código fuente. El despliegue público en producción y su verificación aún no están registrados.
Lee el estado antes de citar este número.
The final provider-prediction calculation is implemented in this source candidate. Public production verification for this corrected version is still not recorded.
Exclusiones
Predictions more than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival are excluded, and delays outside ±90 minutes are removed as timetable-wrap outliers.
OC Transpo rail is excluded because the operator does not publish realtime rail observations in the feed used by this method.
Incertidumbre e interpretación
The result describes matched published predictions, not every operated trip. Feed gaps and trip-matching limits can reduce coverage.
Current network evidence is recomputed and is not stored here as an immutable historical snapshot.
Datos probantes actuales
Historial de cambios
No hay ningún cambio importante registrado para esta versión de la métrica.