- Bài đọc
- Cách chúng tôi đo lường
- Thời gian hành khách bị mất
Thời gian hành khách mất tính số giờ hành khách bị mất do thiếu chuyến và chuyến trễ.
Báo cáo cho biết đã mất bao nhiêu giờ, mất ở đâu và ai phải chịu. Không ai đếm số hành khách trên từng chuyến, nên số hành khách được ước tính bằng mô hình, và mỗi con số đều có một khoảng giá trị.
- Bus timesĐã đo
- Riders per tripƯớc tính
- Hours lost, by causeExplained
- Total, with rangeƯớc tính
What is measured, estimated and explained
When each bus reached each stop, from live positions, compared with the timetable.
How many riders were on each trip, and so the hours lost and the dollars. These carry a range.
How the pieces fit together. This page says it in words; it does not publish settings.
Số liệu đến từ đâu
- Đã đoOC Transpo and STO live bus positions
- Đã đoLịch chạy đã công bố, có ghi ngày
- Đã đoLượt lên xe đã công bố theo tuyến
- Ước tínhMô hình lượng hành khách của chúng tôi
Cách chúng tôi tính
- We find the trips that did not come, ran late or ran slow. This uses where each bus actually was, as the On time page explains.
- We estimate the riders on each trip. We take the route’s published boardings for the day type and spread them across the day, then divide by the trips scheduled.
- For each problem we work out the time a typical rider lost. The five kinds are listed below.
- We add the hours up. A trip is counted once: a cancelled trip is not also counted as a missed transfer.
- We share each trip’s hours across the places it passes through, and print a range beside the total. The route total is firmer than any one ward.
Thời gian đi đâu hết
- Chờ những chuyến xe buýt không bao giờ đếnThe riders who would have taken the trip, times the wait for the next bus that did come.
- Chờ xe buýt trễRiders on trips more than 5 minutes after the timetable, times how late they ran, weighted for how busy the route is.
- Lỡ chuyến nốiWhen a trip runs later than a short connection allowance, some riders miss their connection and wait for the next one.
- Chuyến chậmRunning time beyond the timetable. A rider is on board for part of it, on average.
- Tàu chạy chậmThe same idea for the O-Train.
Số hành khách mỗi chuyến là số ước tính theo mô hình
Nobody counts riders on each trip. The model starts from a route’s published boardings for a day type. It spreads them over the day using a published or network profile, and divides by the trips scheduled in each hour. The page names the model, its sources and its limits next to every figure.
Worked example
Route 7, one weekday morning, one direction. These numbers are made up to show the steps, then rounded. They are not from a real day, and other routes will not look like this.
The causes are worked the same way, each with its own allowances. The example shows the shape of the sum, not the settings.
Mức độ chắc chắn của chúng tôi
Every figure is an estimate with a range printed next to it. The range is wider when the model has less to go on, and a trip it has no figure for is left out, counted and lowers our confidence. It is never counted as no loss.
We will publish test results once a real back-test exists.
Giới hạn
- It is an average. A full peak trip and an empty trip share a number.
- Direction is split by the timetable unless the operator publishes it.
- Where a route has no hourly profile of its own, the network’s is used.
- Riders who gave up on the bus are not counted.
- By place: a trip’s hours are shared across the places of its timepoints. Any one ward is approximate. Stops with no known ward are shown as “Not placed”.
- Dollars appear only when a published value of time is supplied, with its source.
What would change the number
- More trips judged, or a fix to how a trip was judged.
- New published boardings, or a better hourly profile.
- A change to the method. Each change is dated on this page and past months keep the method they were worked out with.
Check a number
Anyone can send us a case. City staff and councillors’ offices are answered first. We run it ourselves, from the raw record, and send back the figure and the working in words.
What to include
- The route or ward
- The date or month
- The figure you saw, with a link or a screenshot
- What you expected, and why (optional)
It goes to us through the contact form.
We run the case ourselves and reply with our figure and the steps in words. If we find an error, it goes on the corrections page. We do not send the formula or its settings, so a figure cannot be tuned for or against.
Số liệu đến từ đâu
- OC Transpo and STO live bus positions
- Lượt lên xe đã công bố theo tuyến
- Mô hình lượng hành khách của chúng tôi
Phiên bản phương pháp và nhật ký thay đổi
Số liệu của một tháng đã công bố sẽ không bao giờ thay đổi. Nếu một phương pháp được sửa đổi, các tháng trước vẫn giữ phương pháp đã dùng để tính.
- Phiên bản 1 · 25 tháng 10, 2026. Công bố lần đầu. Số giờ bị mất theo nguyên nhân, có số hành khách ước tính theo mô hình và một khoảng cho mỗi con số.