- Leitura
- Metodologia dos dados
- How late the worst 5 in 100 settled predictions were
Sort selected final predicted delays from least to greatest. This is the delay where about 5 predictions in 100 were equally late or later in the published route window.
- Definição
- Sort selected final predicted delays from least to greatest. This is the delay where about 5 predictions in 100 were equally late or later in the published route window.
- Fórmula
- PERCENTILE_DISC(0.95) ordered by settled delay seconds.
- Unidades
- seconds, displayed in minutes
- População
- The same selected final provider predictions used by the on-time percentage.
- Janela de medição
- Rolling 30-day route-health window.
- Cobertura
- Matched published predictions only; the discrete percentile selects a final predicted delay value.
- Elegibilidade para publicação
- Regular comparable bus routes with publishable final provider-prediction evidence; merged route variants with incompatible distributions withhold this percentile.
- Escopo
- Each route’s settled final provider predictions in the rolling 30-day route-health window.
- O que este número pode sustentar
- An upper-tail final-prediction schedule difference: about five selected predictions in one hundred were this late or later. This is not an independently measured arrival.
- Fontes e identificadores
- Método · Settled provider-prediction reliability method
last-prediction-within-ten-minutes-v1 - API atual · Current network reliability public API
reliability-evidence
- Método · Settled provider-prediction reliability method
Status da implementação
- Fonte candidata
- Implementado neste candidato de código-fonte.
- Produção pública
- A versão corrigida da métrica está pronta na fonte. A publicação e a verificação em produção ainda não foram registradas.
Leia o status antes de citar este número.
The final provider-prediction calculation is implemented in this source candidate. Public production verification for this corrected version is still not recorded.
Exclusões
Predictions more than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival are excluded, and delays outside ±90 minutes are removed as timetable-wrap outliers.
OC Transpo rail is excluded because the operator does not publish realtime rail observations in the feed used by this method.
Incerteza e interpretação
The result describes matched published predictions, not every operated trip. Feed gaps and trip-matching limits can reduce coverage.
Current network evidence is recomputed and is not stored here as an immutable historical snapshot.
Evidências atuais
Histórico de alterações
Nenhuma mudança relevante registrada para esta versão da métrica.