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Frozen publication

Daily report ending Oct 15, 2026: 75.1% of predictions within five minutes.

Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.

  • 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
  • Published on Oct 16, 2026, 4:13 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8

Across the network

Predicted within five minutes
75.1%
Previous period —
Eligible trip-stop predictions
325,473
Routes measured
148

Oct 15, 2026 to Oct 15, 2026

Previous period: not published for this edition

How this figure was compared

Matched prediction comparison

This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.

Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.

Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-08–2026-10-08

Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2

Current

Eligible raw rate: —

Matched comparison rate: —

— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold

Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing

Baseline

Eligible raw rate: —

Matched comparison rate: —

— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold

Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing

A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing

Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method

Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing

    Timetable feed versions: 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32, ece8fa79-2586-440c-9315-8c39b470256f / ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8

    Weather context

    Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.

    Environment and Climate Change Canada has not published weather for this day yet, or it could not be read.

    Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗

    All qualifying routes in this sample

    Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.

    Cite this publication

    Published on Oct 16, 2026, 4:13 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.

    Calculation method
    settled-arrival-period-report-v8
    Evidence available through
    Oct 16, 2026, 4:13 a.m.