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Otranspo

OC Transpo · Regular service

Route 86

Tunney's Pasture · A - Antares · C - Colonnade

Current service date
Sep 19, 2026
Selected direction
Every published direction
Imported schedule valid through
Oct 18, 2026

Some imported trips are marked accessible and others are not or are unstated; verify each departure.

Live route map

Where the buses are now

Fresh vehicle positions appear on the route below. A marker stops moving when the evidence runs out. We do not invent movement.

Service date
September 19, 2026
Official notices
No matching current notice in a healthy feed
Current buses
4 buses observed

Route and live buses

The line is the official route. Dots show published stops, buses seen now and stops named in current notices.

0 official shapes · 90 stops · 0 vehicle markers

Loading official route geometry · Loading current vehicles

Markers move between GPS fixes using measured progress along the published route. They pause after one measured reporting interval, on a measured standstill, or when evidence becomes stale.

Repeated problem stops: COLONNADE / COLONNADE, COLONNADE / 106 COLONNADE, COLONNADE / CITIPLACE, COLONNADE / 82 COLONNADE, COLONNADE / 80 COLONNADE and 5 more. These are highlighted from route-specific settled arrivals with at least 60 observations over 3 days; the pattern does not prove a cause.

Open the full-screen map
Today’s schedule

Service date September 19, 2026

Towards Tunney's Pasture
32 scheduled trips
6:20 a.m.–12:48 a.m. (next day)
30 min median scheduled gap
Towards A - Antares
31 scheduled trips
6:48 a.m.–12:14 a.m. (next day)
30 min median scheduled gap

Span and median gap are computed from today’s official GTFS stop_times. They are timetable measures, not observed headways or a frequency guarantee.

Next trips from the ends of the route

These are trip starts. For the time at your stop, open that stop’s departure board.

  1. Towards A - Antares

    Starts at TUNNEY'S PASTURE D

    Provider prediction · Scheduled 2:48 p.m.

  2. Towards Tunney's Pasture

    Starts at ANTARES / WEST HUNT CLUB

    Provider prediction · Scheduled 2:50 p.m.

  3. Towards A - Antares

    Starts at TUNNEY'S PASTURE D

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

  4. Towards Tunney's Pasture

    Starts at ANTARES / WEST HUNT CLUB

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

Showing 4 of 12 trips. Open a stop for its full departure board.

Buses seen now

4 current vehicle positions match this route.

The feed identifier is not a verified physical bus or fleet number.

Official notices

No matching active notice appears in the current healthy operator feed.

Planned changes

No safely matched planned change is recorded for this route.

These are Otranspo register records, separate from operator alerts. A record is attached only when its route label identifies one operator; ambiguous OC Transpo/STO number matches are withheld.

Evidence checked Sep 19, 2:29 p.m.

See all stops and route patterns

Stops and stations

5 official stop patterns

Each row below is one exact stop order published in the official schedule. Short turns and alternate destinations stay separate.

Choose a direction or stop pattern
Clear selection
  • Towards Tunney's Pasture: ANTARES / WEST HUNT CLUB to TUNNEY'S PASTURE C

    38 stops · 490 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 18, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday

    14 official service records

    5 added dates and 31 removed dates

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards Tunney's Pasture: COLONNADE / AD. 164 to TUNNEY'S PASTURE C

    37 stops · 108 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 18, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday

    9 official service records

    2 added dates and 18 removed dates

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards A - Antares: TUNNEY'S PASTURE D to AURIGA / ANTARES

    37 stops · 99 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 18, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday

    9 official service records

    2 added dates and 18 removed dates

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards A - Antares: TUNNEY'S PASTURE D to ANTARES / WEST HUNT CLUB

    31 stops · 395 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 18, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday

    14 official service records

    5 added dates and 31 removed dates

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards C - Colonnade: TUNNEY'S PASTURE D to COLONNADE / AD. 189

    36 stops · 108 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 18, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday

    9 official service records

    2 added dates and 18 removed dates

    View stops and calendar

Official feed version 99de510d-89b0-4652-9d93-217659284cf2

Source checksum 2f30d876ae731cae79cf274d036530bb78b0c14f6e0e994d1ad32ca16291b367

Would you count on route 86?

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Open history, reliability and route analysis

Verdict

What this route needs

Timetable short by 3.6 to 3.9 min in 3 hours of the day.

17:00 drops to 53% on time, against 87% the rest of the day.

Scenario: 4 min more running time on 271 trips. The schedule-block model estimates 65 additional buses; fleet and workforce feasibility are unverified.

Assumptions: published departure times, trip blocks and service pattern stay fixed while running time changes. A scheduler must test headways, transfers, recovery, fleet circulation, operator shifts, labour rules and cost before use.

Arrivals within five minutes, by hour of day, last 14 days, 20 hours measured
  1. 00:00: 86% of arrivals on time, 414 arrivals, typically 0.6 min early
  2. 01:00: not enough data
  3. 02:00: not enough data
  4. 03:00: not enough data
  5. 04:00: not enough data
  6. 05:00: 97.6% of arrivals on time, 765 arrivals, typically 0.3 min late
  7. 06:00: 91.9% of arrivals on time, 2,346 arrivals, typically 0.6 min late
  8. 07:00: 81% of arrivals on time, 2,469 arrivals, typically 1.7 min late
  9. 08:00: 58.1% of arrivals on time, 2,627 arrivals, typically 3.6 min late
  10. 09:00: 85.8% of arrivals on time, 2,226 arrivals, typically 0.6 min late
  11. 10:00: 91% of arrivals on time, 1,614 arrivals, typically 0 min early
  12. 11:00: 88.6% of arrivals on time, 1,608 arrivals, typically 0 min late
  13. 12:00: 84.2% of arrivals on time, 1,604 arrivals, typically 0.5 min early
  14. 13:00: 94% of arrivals on time, 1,637 arrivals, typically 0 min early
  15. 14:00: 92.1% of arrivals on time, 1,744 arrivals, typically 0.1 min late
  16. 15:00: 67.8% of arrivals on time, 2,270 arrivals, typically 2.8 min late
  17. 16:00: 56.1% of arrivals on time, 2,724 arrivals, typically 3.7 min late
  18. 17:00: 53% of arrivals on time, 2,956 arrivals, typically 4.1 min late
  19. 18:00: 81.4% of arrivals on time, 2,109 arrivals, typically 0.9 min late
  20. 19:00: 86.4% of arrivals on time, 1,593 arrivals, typically 0.5 min early
  21. 20:00: 93.1% of arrivals on time, 1,613 arrivals, typically 0.1 min early
  22. 21:00: 87.5% of arrivals on time, 1,522 arrivals, typically 0.9 min late
  23. 22:00: 91.6% of arrivals on time, 1,372 arrivals, typically 0 min late
  24. 23:00: 93.3% of arrivals on time, 1,047 arrivals, typically 0.3 min late
  • 90% or more on time
  • 80 to 90% on time
  • under 80% on time
  • not enough data
WhatWhenMeasuredScenario or next investigation
ProblemLate by the timetable08:00 · 16:00 to 18:003.6 min late · 3.9 min lateMore running time
ProblemOne hour collapses17:0053%Operations, not the timetable
Measurements
Late by the timetable · 16:00 to 18:00
medianDelaySeconds 235
spreadSeconds 921
observations 5,680
hoursAffected 2
suggestedRunningTimeChangeMinutes 3.9
Late by the timetable · 08:00
medianDelaySeconds 217
spreadSeconds 971
observations 2,627
hoursAffected 1
suggestedRunningTimeChangeMinutes 3.6
One hour collapses · 17:00
hour 17
onTimePct 53
routeMedianOnTimePct 87
shortfallPoints 34
observations 2,956
08:00 333708:00 273116:00 313516:00 293317:00 293317:00 3034

Route check

How route 86 is doing

A plain-language summary of the strongest evidence we have. We say when the data cannot answer a question.

Bottom line

Usually close to schedule, but check the problem times below.

81 in 100 arrivals were within 5 minutes of schedule · 47,211 arrivals checked

Confidence in this summary: High

Based on 47,211 arrivals over 20 weekdays, from Aug 20, 2026 to Sep 19, 2026.

Updated Sep 19, 2026, 1:32 p.m.

Where and when does it keep going wrong?

These are repeated patterns, not one bad day or an unverified rider report. They are measured the same way as the verdict above, over the same arrivals, but they are counted per stop rather than per hour, so the two lists need not match line for line.

  1. 5 p.m.–6 p.m.: 47 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (2,956 arrivals over 13 days).
  2. 4 p.m.–5 p.m.: 44 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (2,724 arrivals over 13 days).
  3. 8 a.m.–9 a.m.: 42 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (2,627 arrivals over 11 days).
  4. 3 p.m.–4 p.m.: 32 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (2,270 arrivals over 12 days).

No current official notice matches this route.

Problem places

  1. COLONNADE / AD. 203

    50 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (134 arrivals over 16 days).

    Open this stop
  2. COLONNADE / AD. 217

    50 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (134 arrivals over 16 days).

    Open this stop
  3. COLONNADE / COLONNADE

    46 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (134 arrivals over 16 days).

    Open this stop
  4. COLONNADE / 82 COLONNADE

    45 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (133 arrivals over 15 days).

    Open this stop

These are route-specific settled arrivals. They identify a repeated location and time difference, but do not prove the cause.

Check every trip and date

Open a time period to see each service day, scheduled trip, feed gap, observed public vehicle ID, and the exact counts behind this summary.

What riders want to know

Is any trip cancelled right now?
0 of 12Checks trips starting at route endpoints in the next 4 hours. This is not a historical cancellation rate.
Possible no-shows after checking feed gaps?
103 of 616 checked trips need a closer look103 of 616 trips with enough public-feed evidence had no matching position over 7 days. 3 of 619 scheduled trips were excluded because the feed record was incomplete. These are cases to investigate, not confirmed no-shows.
How late does this route get?
The slowest 5 in 100 were more than about 10.9 min late81 in 100 arrivals were within 5 minutes of schedule.
Do buses bunch or leave long gaps?
No route-level result meets the evidence threshold yet. This does not mean gaps did not happen.

Schedule change check

Published schedule: before and after

This compares the current retained official schedule with the prior retained version. Schedule changes are facts about what was planned; they do not prove that a trip ran.

Current published schedule began September 18, 2026

Selected service day from each published schedule

We check the first Monday after the new schedule began and the Monday one week earlier. Every figure comes from the retained official GTFS versions named below.

At least one selected date uses added or removed calendar-date service. Treat this as holiday or special-service context, not ordinary weekday growth.

Before

Service date checked: September 14, 2026

Scheduled trips
99
Distinct scheduled stops
90
Distinct published paths
5
Published service span
5:01 a.m.1:01 a.m. next day

Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 3 removed

Feed fingerprint: d6d50360bb16d494 · 151dbfc4-6745-4fbd-9eef-6885ecb708f4

New schedule

Service date checked: September 21, 2026

Scheduled trips
99
Distinct scheduled stops
90
Distinct published paths
5
Published service span
5:01 a.m.1:01 a.m. next day

Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed

Feed fingerprint: 2f30d876ae731cae · 99de510d-89b0-4652-9d93-217659284cf2

Did service improve after the change?

We will compare settled arrivals for the 14 days before and after the change. We publish the comparison only after both sides have at least 7 service days and 200 arrivals.

Still collecting: before has 32,874 arrivals over 14 days; after has 3,408 arrivals over 1 days. No improvement or decline is claimed yet.

Checksums let anyone verify which retained timetable produced the counts. A changed count does not identify a cause, cancellation, operator decision, or passenger impact.

How this route is judged: Regular all-stop route

We compare observed arrivals with the official schedule. A result needs at least 200 arrivals. Within 5 minutes is the rider-facing target used here.

What this data cannot prove

The public feed does not provide dependable passenger counts or passed-up-rider events. A missing position does not by itself prove a cancellation, no-show, short turn or cause.

See the definitions, thresholds and evidence order
  1. Official current feed: explicit cancellations, skipped stops and active notices.
  2. Matched observations: vehicle positions and settled predictions tied to the official schedule.
  3. Official timetable: what was planned, kept separate from what was observed.
  4. Rider and operator reports: leads about routes, times and places to investigate, not numeric proof by themselves.

Provisional results, published evidence

When is this route reliable?

Every hour below is backed by this route’s settled arrivals. “On time” means no more than five minutes early or late, so a bus that leaves very early counts as a failure for the waiting rider.

Evidence window: August 20, 2026 to September 19, 2026

Within 5 minutes of schedule
80.9%
Arrivals checked
47,211
Weekdays with data
20
How late the worst 5 in 100 were
10.9 min late
Patterns by hour (20)
HourOn timeMedianWorst 5 in 100Evidence
00:0086.0%0.6 min early5 min late414 · 12 days
05:0097.6%0.3 min late4.1 min late765 · 9 days
06:0091.9%0.6 min late5.6 min late2,346 · 12 days
07:0081.0%1.7 min late8 min late2,469 · 12 days
08:0058.1%3.6 min late19.8 min late2,627 · 11 days
09:0085.8%0.6 min late6.5 min late2,226 · 12 days
10:0091.0%0 min early5.5 min late1,614 · 12 days
11:0088.6%0 min late4.8 min late1,608 · 12 days
12:0084.2%0.5 min early5.5 min late1,604 · 12 days
13:0094.0%0 min early4.6 min late1,637 · 12 days
14:0092.1%0.1 min late4.9 min late1,744 · 12 days
15:0067.8%2.8 min late12.6 min late2,270 · 12 days
16:0056.1%3.7 min late22.7 min late2,724 · 13 days
17:0053.0%4.1 min late15.8 min late2,956 · 13 days
18:0081.4%0.9 min late12.6 min late2,109 · 13 days
19:0086.4%0.5 min early5.6 min late1,593 · 13 days
20:0093.1%0.1 min early4.1 min late1,613 · 12 days
21:0087.5%0.9 min late6.1 min late1,522 · 12 days
22:0091.6%0 min late5.3 min late1,372 · 13 days
23:0093.3%0.3 min late5.7 min late1,047 · 13 days

4 hourly block(s) are below 70% across at least three service days: a repeated pattern, not one bad day.

Scheduled bus, but not observed in realtime

513 / 619 scheduled trips published at least one position across 6 service days (82.9%).

  • 18:007 / 28 trips without a position75.0%
  • 15:0010 / 48 trips without a position79.2%
  • 05:004 / 20 trips without a position80.0%
  • 06:007 / 38 trips without a position81.6%
  • 19:005 / 28 trips without a position82.1%
  • 20:005 / 28 trips without a position82.1%

This is not a confirmed no-show. A missing position can mean a cancelled or missed bus, but it can also mean an unassigned trip ID or an operator-feed gap. Otranspo publishes the gap because it matters to riders while keeping the conclusion honest.

Arrival check: the last prediction within ten minutes of arrival, counted once per trip, stop and service date. Trip check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. Sources and limitations.

Evidence behind this pageOpen the definition, method, sources, dates, coverage, and known limits.

What is being shown

The current public route group, its published schedule variants and stop patterns, current operations, and matching observed reliability where available.

How it was produced

1 current GTFS route record variants are grouped by operator and public route number. Stop patterns remain tied to their published variant; aggregated reliability records are not merged into an invented percentile.

Evidence dates

Collected or observed
Computed or assembled
Sample
47,211 settled arrivals across 1 matching reliability records.
Coverage
5 published stop patterns containing 179 stop calls are available on this page.
Method or data version
last-prediction-within-ten-minutes-v1; 99de510d-89b0-4652-9d93-217659284cf2; 2f30d876ae731cae79cf274d036530bb78b0c14f6e0e994d1ad32ca16291b367

Sources

Limits to keep in mind

  • Schedule variants can apply on different dates. A grouped route is not a claim that every pattern operates today.
  • Accessibility fields report only what the operator publishes; an unknown value is not confirmation of access.
Suggest a factual correction

Rider evidence

Community reports

Signals below are moderated community aggregates, not official operator notices or reliability scores.

You can report without signing in. Anonymous reports count a little less when we calculate public patterns. You can add an account after submitting.

Report a specific problem

Emergency: call 9-1-1. Check official OC Transpo or STO notices before travelling.

Source: currently imported OC Transpo GTFS. Check the Alerts panel for current official notices and each stop page for observed departures.