The difference between waiting time implied by settled predicted arrival spacing and waiting time implied by scheduled spacing for eligible high-frequency route–stop hours.
- 定义
- The difference between waiting time implied by settled predicted arrival spacing and waiting time implied by scheduled spacing for eligible high-frequency route–stop hours.
- 公式
- Predicted EWT − scheduled EWT, where each EWT = Σ(gap²) ÷ (2 × Σ(gap)). Gaps are ordered independently for scheduled and predicted arrivals before aggregation.
- 单位
- seconds, displayed in minutes
- 人群
- Eligible high-frequency bus route–stop hours with ordered scheduled and settled predicted arrivals.
- 测量时段
- Eligible completed service days in the latest 30 days.
- 覆盖范围
- Only service days that pass prediction-matching quality are included; every result retains its matched-arrival and stop counts.
- 发布资格
- At least five matched arrivals in a route–stop hour and an average scheduled headway from two through twelve minutes.
- 范围
- Completed service days in the latest 30 days that satisfy the prediction-matching quality threshold; route–stop hours require at least five matched arrivals and an average scheduled headway from two through twelve minutes.
- 这个数字可以说明什么
- Difference in wait implied by predicted spacing versus scheduled spacing. It is not observed passenger wait, actual door-opening regularity, or a low-frequency punctuality measure.
- 来源和标识
- 方法 · Settled predicted excess-wait method
settled-predicted-excess-wait-v1 - 当前 API · Current network reliability public API
reliability-evidence
- 方法 · Settled predicted excess-wait method
实施状态
- 候选来源
- 已在此候选源中实现。
- 公开发布
- 此指标版本尚未在公开的正式运行环境中经过独立验证。
引用这个数字之前,请先阅读状态说明。
The calculation is implemented in this source candidate. This record does not claim that the same version has been independently verified in the public production deployment.
排除项
This is not an observed passenger-wait survey, and it does not include low-frequency route–stop hours or rail without supported realtime observations.
A negative result is not labelled better service; it only means the predicted spacing implied less wait than the imported timetable for the eligible population.
不确定性与解读
Predicted arrivals are the last supported predictions near scheduled time, not recorded door-open events. Feed and matching quality therefore remain attached to the result.
当前证据
变更历史
此指标版本没有登记在案的重大变更记录。