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Route reliability, and what is running now

More filters
Evidence scope and limitations
Operator
All operators
Period
Sep 12, 2026 – Oct 10, 2026
Primary measure
Predicted within ±5 min
Eligibility
Any evidence maturity · All metric states

Period, direction, day type, time band, mode, and population cannot be changed unless the connected evidence publishes that dimension. Scheduled-trip position coverage is a separate population below.

Period
Rolling 30 days
Route direction
Not published in route summaries
Day type
Not separable in route summaries
Time band
All times; qualified hourly patterns are below
Mode
Bus only; rail observations unavailable
Population
Eligible final provider predictions

274 of 274 routes

Predictions within ±5 min76.8%

Operator predictions, not measured arrivals.Sep 12, 2026 – Oct 10, 2026

148Regular routes with a comparable result
Inspect two routes

Place two published route summaries side by side. Each sample is one scheduled trip-stop arrival, using its last eligible provider prediction recorded no earlier than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival; later eligible updates can count. This is not a measured arrival. Each column keeps its own window and sample size; this view makes no better-or-worse claim.

Choose two different routes to see their evidence.

Observed route reliability evidence. Each row identifies its operator, measurement units, and evidence maturity.
?
?
?
OC21Regular route · schedule result can be compared035.2%7.2 min16.7 min99818
STO45Regular route · schedule result can be compared038.4%8.2 min22.5 min10,31817
OC17Regular route · schedule result can be compared050.7%6.7 min19.6 min7,88118
OC23Regular route · schedule result can be compared051.3%7.1 min20.7 min6,20218
OC32Regular route · schedule result can be compared054.3%5.4 min13.5 min10,12118
STO52Regular route · schedule result can be compared254.3%6 min19.4 min51,93317
STO56Regular route · schedule result can be compared054.7%5.5 min15.8 min12,44017
OC13Regular route · schedule result can be compared055.2%6.6 min21.3 min16,36518
STO47Regular route · schedule result can be compared055.4%5.2 min16.8 min5,31817
STO23Regular route · schedule result can be compared055.7%5.5 min16.9 min6,31817
STO29Regular route · schedule result can be compared057.4%5.3 min17.7 min4,05417
OC7Regular route · schedule result can be compared959.0%5.6 min19 min213,71018
OC12Regular route · schedule result can be compared860.2%5.3 min18.3 min203,46618
STO48Regular route · schedule result can be compared061.0%4.4 min13.8 min1,52117
OC19Regular route · schedule result can be compared461.3%4.9 min17 min78,49918
OC56Regular route · schedule result can be compared261.7%5.2 min17.9 min59,65418
STO27Regular route · schedule result can be compared061.8%5.2 min18.8 min6,30617
STO41Regular route · schedule result can be compared062.4%4.9 min16.8 min7,97017
OC18Regular route · schedule result can be compared362.9%4.7 min15.6 min96,87118
OC11Regular route · schedule result can be compared663.4%4.8 min17.7 min178,35118
OC51Regular route · schedule result can be compared364.3%4.7 min15 min95,93518
OC20Regular route · schedule result can be compared464.6%4.5 min14.9 min91,37318
STO20Regular route · schedule result can be compared065.0%4.1 min14 min2,14417
STO40Regular route · schedule result can be compared065.2%4.3 min14.2 min11,40917
OC15Regular route · schedule result can be compared065.4%4 min15.3 min29,07918
  1. OC21

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min35.2%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    35.2%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    7.2 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    16.7 min
    Eligible final predictions
    998
    Weekdays with evidence
    18
  2. STO45

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min38.4%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    38.4%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    8.2 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    22.5 min
    Eligible final predictions
    10,318
    Weekdays with evidence
    17
  3. OC17

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min50.7%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    50.7%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    6.7 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    19.6 min
    Eligible final predictions
    7,881
    Weekdays with evidence
    18
  4. OC23

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min51.3%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    51.3%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    7.1 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    20.7 min
    Eligible final predictions
    6,202
    Weekdays with evidence
    18
  5. OC32

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min54.3%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    54.3%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    5.4 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    13.5 min
    Eligible final predictions
    10,121
    Weekdays with evidence
    18
  6. STO52

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min54.3%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    2
    Predicted within ±5 min
    54.3%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    6 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    19.4 min
    Eligible final predictions
    51,933
    Weekdays with evidence
    17
  7. STO56

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min54.7%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    54.7%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    5.5 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    15.8 min
    Eligible final predictions
    12,440
    Weekdays with evidence
    17
  8. OC13

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min55.2%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    55.2%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    6.6 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    21.3 min
    Eligible final predictions
    16,365
    Weekdays with evidence
    18
  9. STO47

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min55.4%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    55.4%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    5.2 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    16.8 min
    Eligible final predictions
    5,318
    Weekdays with evidence
    17
  10. STO23

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min55.7%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    55.7%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    5.5 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    16.9 min
    Eligible final predictions
    6,318
    Weekdays with evidence
    17
  11. STO29

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min57.4%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    57.4%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    5.3 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    17.7 min
    Eligible final predictions
    4,054
    Weekdays with evidence
    17
  12. OC7

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min59.0%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    9
    Predicted within ±5 min
    59.0%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    5.6 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    19 min
    Eligible final predictions
    213,710
    Weekdays with evidence
    18
  13. OC12

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min60.2%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    8
    Predicted within ±5 min
    60.2%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    5.3 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    18.3 min
    Eligible final predictions
    203,466
    Weekdays with evidence
    18
  14. STO48

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min61.0%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    61.0%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    4.4 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    13.8 min
    Eligible final predictions
    1,521
    Weekdays with evidence
    17
  15. OC19

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min61.3%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    4
    Predicted within ±5 min
    61.3%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    4.9 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    17 min
    Eligible final predictions
    78,499
    Weekdays with evidence
    18
  16. OC56

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min61.7%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    2
    Predicted within ±5 min
    61.7%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    5.2 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    17.9 min
    Eligible final predictions
    59,654
    Weekdays with evidence
    18
  17. STO27

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min61.8%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    61.8%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    5.2 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    18.8 min
    Eligible final predictions
    6,306
    Weekdays with evidence
    17
  18. STO41

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min62.4%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    62.4%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    4.9 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    16.8 min
    Eligible final predictions
    7,970
    Weekdays with evidence
    17
  19. OC18

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min62.9%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    3
    Predicted within ±5 min
    62.9%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    4.7 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    15.6 min
    Eligible final predictions
    96,871
    Weekdays with evidence
    18
  20. OC11

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min63.4%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    6
    Predicted within ±5 min
    63.4%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    4.8 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    17.7 min
    Eligible final predictions
    178,351
    Weekdays with evidence
    18
  21. OC51

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min64.3%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    3
    Predicted within ±5 min
    64.3%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    4.7 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    15 min
    Eligible final predictions
    95,935
    Weekdays with evidence
    18
  22. OC20

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min64.6%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    4
    Predicted within ±5 min
    64.6%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    4.5 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    14.9 min
    Eligible final predictions
    91,373
    Weekdays with evidence
    18
  23. STO20

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min65.0%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    65.0%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    4.1 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    14 min
    Eligible final predictions
    2,144
    Weekdays with evidence
    17
  24. STO40

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min65.2%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    65.2%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    4.3 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    14.2 min
    Eligible final predictions
    11,409
    Weekdays with evidence
    17
  25. OC15

    Regular route · schedule result can be compared

    Predicted within ±5 min65.4%
    Open secondary evidence
    Running now
    0
    Predicted within ±5 min
    65.4%
    Avg predicted deviation (+ late, − early)
    4 min
    Predicted lateness of worst 5 in 100
    15.3 min
    Eligible final predictions
    29,079
    Weekdays with evidence
    18

Showing 25 of 274 matching routes

How to read these results

274 routes are shown. 148 have all three reliability measures; 0 have at least 20 observed weekdays.

On larger screens this table scrolls horizontally inside its labelled region. Column headings are sort buttons. On smaller screens the same rows are presented as a list.

Each sample is one scheduled trip-stop arrival, using its last eligible provider prediction against the schedule; it is not a measured arrival. Within ±5 min is a percentage. Predicted deviation and the worst 5 in 100 are minutes. Observed weekdays count distinct weekdays with eligible prediction evidence.

Only regular routes enter the comparison. Express, shopper/community, event, and unclassified services stay visible for transparency but are not ranked by ordinary on-time performance.

The table and mobile list show the first 25 filtered routes until expanded. The result count and CSV always use the complete filtered set.

Open the 30-day summary and distribution

30-day route briefing

What should riders notice?

A quick reading of the selected routes, followed by every observation and the limits of the evidence.

76.8%

Estimated within ±5 min · weighted from route summaries

8,356,561

Eligible final predictions in this view

0

Routes with 20+ observed weekdays

148

Regular routes with a comparable result

Needs attention

Lowest observed within-±5-minute results among routes with at least 20 observed weekdays.

No route in this selection has 20 observed weekdays yet.

Strongest observed

Highest observed within-±5-minute results using the same evidence threshold.

No route in this selection has 20 observed weekdays yet.

Reliability spread

Mature routes grouped by their observed within-±5-minute result.

Below 60%
0
60–74.9%
0
75–89.9%
0
90% and above
0
Vehicles observed now · both operators

346

Vehicles visible in the current feed

302

OC Transpo observations

44

STO observations

88

Services identified now

Feed checked: Oct 11, 2026, 11:37 a.m.

Open Network now
About this scoreboard

Thirty days of eligible provider predictions ranked with the sample attached, beside how many vehicles each route has out at this moment. The prediction comparison does not independently measure arrivals. A missing value is not a zero: a blank running count means that operator’s live feed cannot be vouched for.

Official feeds, calculated measures, civic data, and rider observations stay visibly separate. Missing evidence is unavailable, never zero.