- Lettura
- Metodologia dei dati
- High-frequency excess predicted wait
The difference between waiting time implied by settled predicted arrival spacing and waiting time implied by scheduled spacing for eligible high-frequency route–stop hours.
- Definizione
- The difference between waiting time implied by settled predicted arrival spacing and waiting time implied by scheduled spacing for eligible high-frequency route–stop hours.
- Formula
- Predicted EWT − scheduled EWT, where each EWT = Σ(gap²) ÷ (2 × Σ(gap)). Gaps are ordered independently for scheduled and predicted arrivals before aggregation.
- Unità
- seconds, displayed in minutes
- Popolazione
- Eligible high-frequency bus route–stop hours with ordered scheduled and settled predicted arrivals.
- Periodo di misurazione
- Eligible completed service days in the latest 30 days.
- Copertura
- Only service days that pass prediction-matching quality are included; every result retains its matched-arrival and stop counts.
- Idoneità alla pubblicazione
- At least five matched arrivals in a route–stop hour and an average scheduled headway from two through twelve minutes.
- Ambito
- Completed service days in the latest 30 days that satisfy the prediction-matching quality threshold; route–stop hours require at least five matched arrivals and an average scheduled headway from two through twelve minutes.
- Cosa può sostenere questo numero
- Difference in wait implied by predicted spacing versus scheduled spacing. It is not observed passenger wait, actual door-opening regularity, or a low-frequency punctuality measure.
- Fonti e identificativi
- Metodo · Settled predicted excess-wait method
settled-predicted-excess-wait-v1 - API attuale · Current network reliability public API
reliability-evidence
- Metodo · Settled predicted excess-wait method
Stato di attuazione
- Fonte candidata
- Realizzato in questa fonte candidata.
- Produzione pubblica
- Questa versione della metrica non è stata verificata in modo indipendente nell'ambiente pubblico di produzione.
Legga lo stato prima di citare questo numero.
The calculation is implemented in this source candidate. This record does not claim that the same version has been independently verified in the public production deployment.
Esclusioni
This is not an observed passenger-wait survey, and it does not include low-frequency route–stop hours or rail without supported realtime observations.
A negative result is not labelled better service; it only means the predicted spacing implied less wait than the imported timetable for the eligible population.
Incertezza e interpretazione
Predicted arrivals are the last supported predictions near scheduled time, not recorded door-open events. Feed and matching quality therefore remain attached to the result.
Dati probanti attuali
Cronologia delle modifiche
Per questa versione della metrica non risulta alcuna modifica sostanziale registrata.