Frozen publication
Weekly report ending Oct 25, 2026: 76.5% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 7 of 7 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 26, 2026, 5:13 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 76.5%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 2,084,322
- Routes measured
- 149
Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Preceding equal window · 2026-10-12–2026-10-18
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad, 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32, adf8b6f0-5fb9-4eca-bcb9-68f5235502fc, b6dda873-b797-49b3-a4a6-542fad672eef, db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef, e0f8038a-45e7-4a47-99c2-308c0f049f72, e582db1b-46c9-4756-8b25-9782f02ba21b / 1ea7c84b-eae6-4787-8aaa-01523b4e6619, 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32, 9aab3e5d-2362-4d44-ab42-b8628a59d804, db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef, dd66f011-17ec-4399-858c-01706b8c5a64, ece8fa79-2586-440c-9315-8c39b470256f
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
- Mon, Oct 19No notable weather
- Tue, Oct 20No notable weather
- Wed, Oct 21No notable weather
- Thu, Oct 22No notable weather
- Fri, Oct 23No notable weather
- Sat, Oct 24No notable weather
- Sun, Oct 25Not available
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 79STO97.2%1,508 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 62STO95.5%6,567 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 15395.4%1,855 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO95.3%1,036 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO95.1%3,165 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 78STO94.2%5,505 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8493.7%683 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO92.8%8,676 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17392.6%12,725 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19792.5%1,804 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 45STO20.7%1,930 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO40.6%2,757 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO46%9,882 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1746.7%2,207 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 27STO52.2%1,203 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1352.3%4,614 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2353.3%1,647 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 29STO56.3%686 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1159.6%47,541 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 41STO60.1%1,604 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 26, 2026, 5:13 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 26, 2026, 5:13 a.m.