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Weekly report ending Oct 4, 2026

Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days, with dates, sample size and route evidence shown together.

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Across the network

Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026 · 7 of 7 calendar days have completed rollups

Predicted within five minutes
78.5%
Eligible trip-stop predictions
2,007,178
Routes measured
148

Matched prediction comparison

This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.

Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.

Preceding equal window · 2026-09-21–2026-09-27

Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2

Current

Eligible raw rate: —

Matched comparison rate: —

0 / 0 eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold

Baseline

Eligible raw rate: —

Matched comparison rate: —

0 / 0 eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold

A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing

Per-route coverage · 0; Matched route days · 0; Omitted route days · 0; Common weights · 0

    Timetable feed versions: ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8 / —

    Weather this week

    Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.

    • Mon, Sep 28No notable weather
    • Tue, Sep 29No notable weather
    • Wed, Sep 30No notable weather
    • Thu, Oct 1No notable weather
    • Fri, Oct 2No notable weather
    • Sat, Oct 3No notable weather
    • Sun, Oct 4Not available

    Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗

    Frozen publication

    Published on Oct 5, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.

    Most reliable this period

    The routes with the highest share of eligible final provider predictions within five minutes of the timetable. All use the same route class, evidence threshold and period. This is a relative ranking, not an operator target or measured arrival rate.

    Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.

    Furthest from the timetable

    The routes with the lowest share of eligible final predictions within five minutes of the timetable. A low figure does not establish the cause; inspect the route evidence before drawing conclusions.

    Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.

    Frozen publication

    Calculation method
    settled-arrival-period-report-v8
    Evidence available through
    Oct 5, 2026, 5:12 a.m.
    Download this publication (CSV)