Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 23, 2026: 79.3% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 24, 2026, 6:13 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 79.3%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 352,029
- Routes measured
- 148
Oct 23, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-16–2026-10-16
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. The source has legacy settled grain
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. The source has legacy settled grain
A matched difference is withheld: The source has legacy settled grain
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. The source has legacy settled grain
Timetable feed versions: 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad, adf8b6f0-5fb9-4eca-bcb9-68f5235502fc / db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef, ece8fa79-2586-440c-9315-8c39b470256f
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- -0.6 °C to 11.9 °C
- Strongest gust
- Not available
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 84100%138 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18STO99.3%148 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9499.2%132 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO98.4%313 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19798.2%335 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO96.8%217 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 100STO96.5%485 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO95.9%1,848 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 50STO95.8%310 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5895.4%2,045 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 45STO25%492 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO41.6%1,890 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO44.2%631 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1757.8%448 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3160.8%3,303 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2361.3%300 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 28STO61.9%218 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19862.6%353 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 95STO62.8%862 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1363.5%1,047 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 24, 2026, 6:13 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 24, 2026, 6:13 a.m.