Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 21, 2026: 76.2% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 22, 2026, 6:13 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 76.2%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 319,525
- Routes measured
- 148
Oct 21, 2026 to Oct 21, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-14–2026-10-14
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef, e0f8038a-45e7-4a47-99c2-308c0f049f72 / 1ea7c84b-eae6-4787-8aaa-01523b4e6619, 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 0 °C to 14.8 °C
- Strongest gust
- Not available
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 98STO100%164 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 28STO100%110 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 85STO99.7%327 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 62STO99.1%970 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 100STO98.5%271 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 15398.1%313 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO97.1%240 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO96.3%1,180 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO96%448 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 76STO96%818 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 56STO35.8%483 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1341.6%909 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1741.9%449 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 45STO46.5%254 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO47.3%1,010 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 297STO49%143 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1155.9%7,568 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4957%719 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 41STO57.6%236 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3259.4%576 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 22, 2026, 6:13 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 22, 2026, 6:12 a.m.