Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 17, 2026: 70.9% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 18, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 70.9%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 229,165
- Routes measured
- 94
Oct 17, 2026 to Oct 17, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-10–2026-10-10
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: 9aab3e5d-2362-4d44-ab42-b8628a59d804, db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef / 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 0.5 °C to 6.4 °C
- Strongest gust
- 46 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 69STO98.7%631 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 64STO98.5%935 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18998%900 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO97.9%382 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3597.9%2,178 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 66STO97.8%1,431 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 63STO97%465 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6796.4%1,001 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9396.3%1,254 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9995.5%1,485 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 1932.5%2,652 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 737.3%7,614 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5138.2%3,398 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1841.4%3,448 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5342.5%3,872 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1243.6%6,921 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8144.9%5,014 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 646.3%7,094 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1149.7%4,968 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19750.8%118 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 18, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 18, 2026, 5:12 a.m.