Frozen publication
Weekly report ending Oct 18, 2026: 77.8% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 7 of 7 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 19, 2026, 5:13 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 77.8%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 1,953,791
- Routes measured
- 148
Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Preceding equal window · 2026-10-05–2026-10-11
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: 1ea7c84b-eae6-4787-8aaa-01523b4e6619, 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32, 9aab3e5d-2362-4d44-ab42-b8628a59d804, db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef, dd66f011-17ec-4399-858c-01706b8c5a64, ece8fa79-2586-440c-9315-8c39b470256f / 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32, ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
- Mon, Oct 12No notable weather
- Tue, Oct 13Rain 24.2 mm
- Wed, Oct 14No notable weather
- Thu, Oct 15No notable weather
- Fri, Oct 16Rain 17.4 mm
- Sat, Oct 17No notable weather
- Sun, Oct 18No notable weather
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 8498.2%544 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 98STO97.5%484 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO96.7%1,315 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9494.9%528 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 69STO93.9%5,247 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 78STO93.8%5,967 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO93.6%1,264 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6793.5%8,132 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO93.5%3,590 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO93%9,200 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 2343.7%1,298 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1745.7%1,737 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1351.1%3,488 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 45STO52.2%1,626 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3253.6%2,299 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO58%2,075 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19859.5%1,402 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 47STO59.6%944 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO59.7%12,474 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1959.7%19,081 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 19, 2026, 5:13 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 19, 2026, 5:12 a.m.