Weekly report ending Oct 11, 2026
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days, with dates, sample size and route evidence shown together.
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Across the network
Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026 · 7 of 7 calendar days have completed rollups
- Predicted within five minutes
- 76.6%
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 1,943,162
- Routes measured
- 148
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Preceding equal window · 2026-09-28–2026-10-04
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
0 / 0 eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
0 / 0 eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · 0; Matched route days · 0; Omitted route days · 0; Common weights · 0
Timetable feed versions: 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32, ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8 / ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8
Weather this week
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
- Mon, Oct 5Gusts to 63 km/h
- Tue, Oct 6No notable weather
- Wed, Oct 7No notable weather
- Thu, Oct 8No notable weather
- Fri, Oct 9No notable weather
- Sat, Oct 10No notable weather
- Sun, Oct 11Not available
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Frozen publication
Published on Oct 12, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
Most reliable this period
The routes with the highest share of eligible final provider predictions within five minutes of the timetable. All use the same route class, evidence threshold and period. This is a relative ranking, not an operator target or measured arrival rate.
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
- 99.2%637 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 97.1%660 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 95.6%9,100 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 95.5%493 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 94.2%1,300 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 93.9%555 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 93.8%5,950 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 93.2%2,409 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 93.1%784 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 93%12,819 eligible trip-stop predictions
Furthest from the timetable
The routes with the lowest share of eligible final predictions within five minutes of the timetable. A low figure does not establish the cause; inspect the route evidence before drawing conclusions.
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
- 25.7%1,784 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 36.4%1,760 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 41.5%709 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 41.8%941 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 42.7%1,155 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 48.2%5,817 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 48.3%2,167 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 48.8%1,387 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 51.2%1,138 eligible trip-stop predictions
- 51.3%4,429 eligible trip-stop predictions
Frozen publication
- Calculation method
- settled-arrival-period-report-v8
- Evidence available through
- Oct 12, 2026, 5:12 a.m.