Previous measure
Previous measure, week of Sep 28 – Oct 4: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Weekly report ending Oct 4, 2026: 78.5% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 7 of 7 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 5, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 78.5%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 2,007,178
- Routes measured
- 148
Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Preceding equal window · 2026-09-21–2026-09-27
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8 / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
- Mon, Sep 28No notable weather
- Tue, Sep 29No notable weather
- Wed, Sep 30No notable weather
- Thu, Oct 1No notable weather
- Fri, Oct 2No notable weather
- Sat, Oct 3No notable weather
- Sun, Oct 4No notable weather
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 9499.6%528 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO97.1%12,552 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17396.4%11,283 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8495.6%501 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 98STO95.2%685 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9394.8%8,013 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO93.6%1,606 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 69STO92.8%7,277 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO92.7%4,854 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4592%5,641 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 45STO37.7%3,044 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2348%1,405 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO48.3%3,623 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO48.6%14,865 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1755.5%1,789 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 47STO59.4%1,601 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 759.8%47,536 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1159.9%40,283 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3261.1%2,304 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1362.1%3,578 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 5, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 5, 2026, 5:12 a.m.