Frozen publication
Weekly report ending Aug 16, 2026: 79% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 7 of 7 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 79%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 939,474
- Routes measured
- 148
Aug 10, 2026 to Aug 16, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Preceding equal window · 2026-08-03–2026-08-09
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
- Mon, Aug 10Rain 23.5 mm, Gusts to 89 km/h
- Tue, Aug 11No notable weather
- Wed, Aug 12Rain 21.9 mm, Gusts to 107 km/h
- Thu, Aug 13Visibility down to 0.2 km
- Fri, Aug 14No notable weather
- Sat, Aug 15No notable weather
- Sun, Aug 16No notable weather
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 98STO100%165 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO98%405 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 58STO97.1%488 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 28STO97%270 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18STO96.9%159 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2696.2%860 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 15395.5%844 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO95%4,689 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 87STO94.9%876 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 13894.9%2,934 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 2049.8%10,295 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1452.8%18,040 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1854.7%11,263 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6357%12,040 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 95STO57.6%936 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 7359.7%5,680 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2361.2%827 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1362.9%2,111 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4263.5%5,907 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 47STO63.7%311 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.