Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 19, 2026: 80% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 20, 2026, 6:12 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 80%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 351,995
- Routes measured
- 149
Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 19, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-12–2026-10-12
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32, db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef, e582db1b-46c9-4756-8b25-9782f02ba21b / 1ea7c84b-eae6-4787-8aaa-01523b4e6619, 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 3 °C to 19.1 °C
- Strongest gust
- 41 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 18798.7%231 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 62STO98.6%1,480 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 15397.8%314 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 87STO96.8%621 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 67STO96.6%2,628 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9396.4%1,372 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 71STO96%2,131 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO95.6%662 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6095.6%1,801 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 63STO95.1%1,130 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 45STO18.1%415 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO39.4%1,911 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO42.9%651 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1350.2%942 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1752.6%447 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 29STO54.7%201 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 23STO56.5%333 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 27STO57.4%291 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 41STO58%343 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3258.9%576 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 20, 2026, 6:12 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 20, 2026, 6:12 a.m.