Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 18, 2026: 77.2% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 19, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 77.2%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 201,369
- Routes measured
- 94
Oct 18, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-11–2026-10-11
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef, dd66f011-17ec-4399-858c-01706b8c5a64 / 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 0.2 °C to 15.7 °C
- Strongest gust
- 41 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 4999.7%390 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19799.3%141 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17399%1,534 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6798.9%840 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 64STO98.3%951 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3398%1,902 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 15397.3%150 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3595.9%1,693 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO95.7%1,090 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 16595.4%366 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 1141.4%4,325 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1943.8%2,395 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8146.5%4,302 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5148.5%3,113 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9053.5%3,335 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1854.1%2,917 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1255%5,493 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5356.3%3,686 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2058.2%2,658 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 16358.5%1,612 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 19, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 19, 2026, 5:12 a.m.