Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 16, 2026: 81% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 17, 2026, 6:12 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 81%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 357,948
- Routes measured
- 148
Oct 16, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-09–2026-10-09
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef, ece8fa79-2586-440c-9315-8c39b470256f / 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
Rain 17.4 mm
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 17.4 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 4 °C to 8.5 °C
- Strongest gust
- 50 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 15 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 84100%136 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 29STO98.8%247 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19798.4%309 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO98.3%412 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18STO98.1%155 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO98%1,722 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 40STO96.5%679 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO96.2%784 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 62STO96.2%1,851 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO96.1%259 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 2329.8%352 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1755.6%448 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO56.3%2,038 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2058.5%3,364 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1358.7%864 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO58.9%623 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 45STO60%573 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3261.8%576 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1463.6%6,292 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 765%8,253 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 17, 2026, 6:12 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 17, 2026, 6:12 a.m.