77% of dự đoán giờ xe buýt đến were within five minutes. Các ngày thứ Bảy were the weak spot.

Lập lịch

Dự báo trễ lặp lại có thể cho thấy bảng giờ cần được xem xét. Hãy kiểm tra hồ sơ giờ đến và giờ xuất bến thực tế trước khi quyết định có cần đổi thời gian chạy hay không.

Ai có thể khắc phục

Một người lập kế hoạch dịch vụ

Chi phí

Chưa có chi phí cho đến khi kiểm tra tác động đến đội xe, nhân sự, thời gian phục hồi và chuyển tuyến.

Vận hành

Dự đoán giờ đến chênh lệch lớn cần được rà soát vận hành. Giao thông, điều phối xe, việc lên xe và cách lập lịch có thể góp phần. Chỉ dựa vào các dự đoán này thì không thể xác định nguyên nhân hay cách khắc phục.

Ai có thể khắc phục

Bộ phận vận hành, và thường là cả con đường

Chi phí

Chưa có chi phí cho đến khi xác định được nguyên nhân vận hành và cách khắc phục.

Test more scheduled running time

Test additional scheduled running time for these hours. This pattern supports the scenario, but fleet, labour, recovery, transfer and cost effects require operator validation.

• 708:00 to 23:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  159.721 eligible predictions · 15 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 15 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1214:00 to 23:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  84.779 eligible predictions · 9 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 14 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1114:00 to 22:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  67.816 eligible predictions · 8 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 16 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1909:00 to 22:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  55.912 eligible predictions · 13 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 15 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 2014:00 to 00:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  43.993 eligible predictions · 10 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 11 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 5 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1208:00 to 13:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  53.876 eligible predictions · 5 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 12 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5314:00 to 19:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  40.569 eligible predictions · 5 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 14 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 7014:00 to 19:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  45.043 eligible predictions · 5 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 11 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 59STO14:00 to 20:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  38.299 eligible predictions · 6 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 9 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 2414:00 to 18:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  31.913 eligible predictions · 4 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 12 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1812:00 to 18:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  30.271 eligible predictions · 6 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 14 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5612:00 to 18:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 6 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  19.749 eligible predictions · 6 hours of the day · typically 6 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 15 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 6 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1108:00 to 11:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  30.307 eligible predictions · 3 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 12 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 52STO14:00 to 21:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 5 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  21.834 eligible predictions · 7 hours of the day · typically 5 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 17 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 5 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5308:00 to 11:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  22.103 eligible predictions · 3 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 9 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5608:00 to 11:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  12.753 eligible predictions · 3 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 11 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1808:00 to 10:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  9.684 eligible predictions · 2 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 12 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1819:00 to 21:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  10.634 eligible predictions · 2 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 10 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 52STO07:00 to 10:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  9.186 eligible predictions · 3 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 11 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 7021:00 to 23:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  9.943 eligible predictions · 2 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 8 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 2408:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  8.476 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 11 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5312:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  5.548 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 13 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 59STO09:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  5.182 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 8 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 2008:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  4.338 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 12 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 2422:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  3.414 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 8 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1822:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  4.421 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 11 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 52STO12:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  3.109 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 12 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5619:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  1.812 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 14 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 2000:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  747 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 10 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 52STO00:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 5 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  270 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 5 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 8 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 5 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5601:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  174 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 6 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

Something other than the timetable

The prediction spread does not support a running-time change by itself. Test traffic, boarding load, crossings, terminal dispatch, vehicle assignment and operator availability against operational records; those cause data are not available here.

• 2016:00 to 18:00

  The 95th-percentile prediction here is about 23 minutes later than the median prediction. Actual arrival spread is not measured.

  8.684 eligible predictions · 2 hours of the day · typically 5 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 23 min later than the median

• 2416:00

  The 95th-percentile prediction here is about 26 minutes later than the median prediction. Actual arrival spread is not measured.

  7.822 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 5 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 26 min later than the median

• 52STO16:00 to 18:00

  The 95th-percentile prediction here is about 21 minutes later than the median prediction. Actual arrival spread is not measured.

  6.044 eligible predictions · 2 hours of the day · typically 6 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 21 min later than the median

• 59STO16:00

  At 16:00, 45 of predictions are within five minutes of the timetable, against 74 the rest of the day. This identifies a prediction pattern, not a confirmed service failure.

  7.518 eligible predictions · 45% against 74% the rest of the day

• 2415:00

  At 15:00, 50 of predictions are within five minutes of the timetable, against 75 the rest of the day. This identifies a prediction pattern, not a confirmed service failure.

  8.333 eligible predictions · 50% against 75% the rest of the day

• 5308:00

  At 08:00, 50 of predictions are within five minutes of the timetable, against 72 the rest of the day. This identifies a prediction pattern, not a confirmed service failure.

  8.386 eligible predictions · 50% against 72% the rest of the day

• 5615:00

  At 15:00, 29 of predictions are within five minutes of the timetable, against 68 the rest of the day. This identifies a prediction pattern, not a confirmed service failure.

  4.599 eligible predictions · 29% against 68% the rest of the day

• 7015:00

  At 15:00, 49 of predictions are within five minutes of the timetable, against 73 the rest of the day. This identifies a prediction pattern, not a confirmed service failure.

  7.148 eligible predictions · 49% against 73% the rest of the day