STO · Rapibus service
Lorrain, Pob Allum
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Service date: October 9, 2026
0 official shapes · 109 stops · 0 vehicle markers
Loading official route geometry · Loading current vehicles
Markers move between GPS fixes using measured progress along the published route. They pause after one measured reporting interval, on a measured standstill, or when evidence becomes stale.
Repeated problem stops: PARC-O-BUS ALLUMETTIÈRES, STATION LORRAIN. These are highlighted from route-specific provider predictions compared with the timetable, with at least 60 eligible predictions over 3 days. They do not establish actual arrivals or a cause.
The line is the official route. Dots show published stops, buses seen now and stops named in current notices.
Buses we can see right now appear on the route below. A marker stops when we stop hearing from that bus. We never make up movement.
Service date October 9, 2026
Span and median gap are computed from today’s official GTFS stop_times. They are timetable measures, not observed headways or a frequency guarantee.
These are trip starts. For the time at your stop, open that stop’s departure board.
Towards Lorrain
Starts at PARC-O-BUS ALLUMETTIÈRES
Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.
Towards Pob Allum
Starts at STATION LORRAIN
Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.
Towards Lorrain
Starts at PARC-O-BUS ALLUMETTIÈRES
Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.
Towards Pob Allum
Starts at STATION LORRAIN
Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.
Showing 4 of 12 trips. Open a stop for its full departure board.
The current healthy operator position feed contains no vehicle matched to this route.
No matching active notice appears in the current healthy operator feed.
No safely matched planned change is recorded for this route.
These are Otranspo register records, separate from operator alerts. A record is attached only when its route label identifies one operator; ambiguous OC Transpo/STO number matches are withheld.
Evidence checked Oct 9, 5:17 a.m.
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Rider evidence
Signals below are moderated community aggregates, not official operator notices or reliability scores.
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Report a specific problem
Emergency: call 9-1-1. Check official OC Transpo or STO notices before travelling.
Source: currently imported STO GTFS. Check the Alerts panel for current official notices and each stop page for observed departures.
Scheduled service and available evidence
Evidence period: Oct 2, 2026 – Oct 8, 2026
2
Trips in the published timetable marked cancelled without qualifying later matching vehicle observations in our archive. This does not prove the trip did not operate. Not counted: 1 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations. Trips with any notice: 3. 2 partial-capture days not counted.
3
3 of 341 trips with a usable feed window (0.9%) had no matching position.
These counts may overlap; do not add them. A missing position confirms neither cancellation nor a no-show.
338 with position · 3 to investigate · 82 excluded · 423 scheduled trips
Current feed. No explicit notice for this route in the current feed; this does not guarantee service. Observed: Oct 9, 2026, 5:16 a.m..
0 of 12 endpoint departures scheduled in the next four hours carried an explicit cancellation at the last check.
82 scheduled trips were excluded from the position check for feed or identity gaps.
Published position coverage: 338 / 423 (79.9%). This is not a delivered-service rate. 7 service days in this source.
Timetables retained before the service day: 7 / 7 requested days · 0 missing days.
Historical calculation: Oct 9, 2026, 3:49 a.m.
Method: explicit provider notices, archived trip windows and retained timetables. Predictions and positions alone do not prove that a bus ran or was missed.
2 partial-capture days not counted.
2 scheduled trips with counted cancellation notices from Fri, Sep 11 to Thu, Oct 8.
Not counted: 2 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations and 0 for trips not in that day’s timetable.
Hours with the most cancellations: 6 a.m. (1), 6 p.m. (1)
A cause is shown only when STO’s own alert for that trip gives one.
Did not come (no bus seen, no notice), last 7 days: 3 of 281 trips we could check.
Not measured yet. The daily count has not reached these days, so there is no number to show.
From the load level STO’s buses report, over the last eight weeks. A time is marked usually busy when at least half of the trips with a reading reached standing room or fuller.
No time of day was usually busy in the last eight weeks.
| When this route is usually busy | Weekdays | Saturdays | Sundays |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 6 am | Usually seats0% of 60 trips | Not enough readings | Not enough readings |
| 6 to 9 am | Usually seats27.1% of 479 trips | Usually seats6.1% of 49 trips | Usually seats0% of 48 trips |
| 9 am to 3 pm | Usually seats6.7% of 902 trips | Usually seats9.4% of 106 trips | Usually seats8.7% of 103 trips |
| 3 to 6 pm | Usually seats40.2% of 517 trips | Usually seats14.9% of 67 trips | Usually seats20.9% of 67 trips |
| 6 to 10 pm | Usually seats8.1% of 630 trips | Usually seats6.7% of 75 trips | Usually seats6.6% of 76 trips |
| After 10 pm | Usually seats1.6% of 189 trips | Usually seats0% of 30 trips | Usually seats0% of 24 trips |
Based on 55 computed days.
Predictions against the timetable
86.6%
of eligible provider predictions were within five minutes of the timetable.
These are provider predictions, not independently measured arrivals. Missing evidence is not counted as on-time service.
Calculated: Oct 9, 2026
2 partial-capture days not counted.
Explore the dated evidence Source of this resultShare of predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Only eligible hours are shown; an absent hour does not mean zero.
19 hourly cohorts meet the thresholds of 30 predictions and 5 service days. Hourly thresholds are assessed separately from the route-wide aggregate.
Improvement or decline requires comparable periods. This single result cannot establish a trend.
Verdict
Only 99% of scheduled trips were seen; the rest are not counted as missed.
| What | When | Measured | Scenario or next investigation |
|---|---|---|---|
| CaveatCoverage gap | All measured hours | 99% | More observation, not a service change |
Route check
A short summary of what we know. We say so when we cannot answer a question.
Bottom line
Provider predictions were usually close to schedule in this dated sample.
87 in 100 eligible predictions were within 5 minutes of the timetable · 90,225 predictions checkedPrediction sample size: Larger sample
Based on 90,225 eligible provider predictions over 28 measured days, from Sep 9, 2026 to Oct 8, 2026.
Updated Oct 9, 2026, 3:33 a.m.
These are repeated prediction-to-timetable differences, not independently measured service failures. They use the same eligible predictions as the result above, but group by stop rather than hour, so the lists need not match line for line.
No repeated prediction-difference period has cleared the evidence threshold yet.
No current official notice matches this route.
Prediction differences by stop
74 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (848 predictions over 29 days).
Open this stop44 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (820 predictions over 29 days).
Open this stopThese are route-specific provider predictions compared with the timetable. They identify repeated prediction differences at a place and time, not measured arrivals or their cause.
Open a time period to see each service day, scheduled trip, feed gap, observed public vehicle ID, and the exact counts behind this summary.
Schedule change check
This compares the current retained official schedule with the prior retained version. Schedule changes are facts about what was planned; they do not prove that a trip ran.
Current published schedule began October 7, 2026
We check the first Monday after the new schedule began and the Monday one week earlier. Every figure comes from the retained official GTFS versions named below.
At least one selected date uses added or removed calendar-date service. Treat this as holiday or special-service context, not ordinary weekday growth.
Service date checked: October 5, 2026
Operator calendar-date records: 1 added · 0 removed
Feed fingerprint: a7e1f22955084828 · ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd
Service date checked: October 12, 2026
Operator calendar-date records: 1 added · 0 removed
Feed fingerprint: 529c515442564d26 · 816c00d7-757c-47a0-a3ab-42cbe122301d
We will compare settled arrivals for the 14 days before and after the change. We publish the comparison only after both sides have at least 7 service days and 200 arrivals.
Still collecting: before has 41,673 arrivals over 13 days; after has 3,865 arrivals over 1 days. No improvement or decline is claimed yet.
Checksums let anyone verify which retained timetable produced the counts. A changed count does not identify a cause, cancellation, operator decision, or passenger impact.
We compare the last eligible provider prediction for each scheduled arrival with the official schedule. These are not independently measured arrivals. A result needs at least 200 eligible predictions. Within 5 minutes is the rider-facing target used here.
The public feed does not provide dependable passenger counts or passed-up-rider events. A missing position does not by itself prove a cancellation, no-show, short turn or cause.
Provisional results, published evidence
Each hour compares the last eligible provider prediction for a scheduled arrival with the timetable. “Within 5 minutes” describes that prediction difference, not a measured arrival or proof that a bus ran.
Evidence window: September 9, 2026 to October 8, 2026
| Hour | On time | Median | 95th percentile | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | 94.6% | 2.6 min late | 4.8 min late | 242 · 12 days |
| 06:00 | 95.8% | 0.7 min late | 4.5 min late | 1,731 · 12 days |
| 07:00 | 90.7% | 0.7 min late | 6.7 min late | 2,457 · 12 days |
| 08:00 | 85.3% | 1.3 min late | 7.2 min late | 2,243 · 12 days |
| 09:00 | 93.5% | 1.2 min late | 5.1 min late | 2,246 · 12 days |
| 10:00 | 94.4% | 0.8 min late | 4.9 min late | 2,183 · 12 days |
| 11:00 | 90.1% | 1.4 min late | 7.1 min late | 2,101 · 12 days |
| 12:00 | 86.8% | 1.8 min late | 7.8 min late | 2,188 · 12 days |
| 13:00 | 90.1% | 1.7 min late | 5.9 min late | 2,155 · 12 days |
| 14:00 | 90.8% | 0.8 min late | 5.8 min late | 2,200 · 12 days |
| 15:00 | 85.5% | 1.6 min late | 7.6 min late | 2,236 · 12 days |
| 16:00 | 82.7% | 1.4 min late | 9.3 min late | 2,369 · 12 days |
| 17:00 | 82.2% | 1.4 min late | 6.9 min late | 2,155 · 12 days |
| 18:00 | 84.2% | 2.2 min late | 6.7 min late | 2,250 · 12 days |
| 19:00 | 81.5% | 2.1 min late | 8.6 min late | 2,116 · 12 days |
| 20:00 | 77.5% | 1.8 min late | 7.3 min late | 2,135 · 12 days |
| 21:00 | 77.5% | 2.4 min late | 10.7 min late | 2,179 · 12 days |
| 22:00 | 88.1% | 1.6 min late | 6.5 min late | 2,128 · 12 days |
| 23:00 | 98.8% | 0.7 min late | 3.8 min late | 503 · 12 days |
No repeated pattern below 70% is yet established across at least three service days.
278 / 281 scheduled trips published at least one position across 5 service days (98.9%).
This is not a confirmed no-show. A missing position can mean a cancelled or missed bus, but it can also mean an unassigned trip ID or an operator-feed gap. Otranspo publishes the gap because it matters to riders while keeping the conclusion honest.
Prediction check: the last eligible provider prediction no earlier than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival, counted once per trip, stop and scheduled Toronto calendar date. It is compared with the timetable, not an independently measured arrival. Trip-position check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. Sources and limitations.
Dated service
The timetable, notices and what the live feed says are shown apart. Seeing a bus on the map does not prove you can board it.
October 8, 2026 · 71 trips in the retained timetable · retained notices; capture coverage unverified
In short: 60 with a matched position · 0 with no matching position (to investigate) · 11 with an unknown outcome.
The current public route group, its published schedule variants and stop patterns, current operations, and reliability from matching eligible final provider predictions where available.
1 current GTFS route record variants are grouped by operator and public route number. Stop patterns remain tied to their published variant; aggregated reliability records are not merged into an invented percentile.
