Previous measure
Previous measure, week of Oct 5 – 11: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Weekly report ending Oct 11, 2026: 76.6% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 7 of 7 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 12, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 76.6%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 1,943,162
- Routes measured
- 148
Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Preceding equal window · 2026-09-28–2026-10-04
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32, ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8 / ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
- Mon, Oct 5Gusts to 63 km/h
- Tue, Oct 6No notable weather
- Wed, Oct 7No notable weather
- Thu, Oct 8No notable weather
- Fri, Oct 9No notable weather
- Sat, Oct 10No notable weather
- Sun, Oct 11No notable weather
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 8499.2%637 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9497.1%660 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9395.6%9,100 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 98STO95.5%493 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO94.2%1,300 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 297STO93.9%555 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO93.8%5,950 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO93.2%2,409 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO93.1%784 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17393%12,819 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 45STO25.7%1,784 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2336.4%1,760 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 29STO41.5%709 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 47STO41.8%941 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 23STO42.7%1,155 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO48.2%5,817 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1748.3%2,167 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 41STO48.8%1,387 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 27STO51.2%1,138 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1351.3%4,429 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 12, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 12, 2026, 5:12 a.m.