Previous measure
Previous measure, week of Aug 31 – Sep 6: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Weekly report ending Sep 6, 2026: 80.4% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 7 of 7 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 80.4%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 645,019
- Routes measured
- 149
Aug 31, 2026 to Sep 6, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Preceding equal window · 2026-08-24–2026-08-30
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
- Mon, Aug 31Visibility down to 0.2 km
- Tue, Sep 1No notable weather
- Wed, Sep 2Rain 29.1 mm, Visibility down to 0.8 km
- Thu, Sep 3Visibility down to 0.2 km
- Fri, Sep 4No notable weather
- Sat, Sep 5No notable weather
- Sun, Sep 6No notable weather
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 98STO98.6%810 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 11295.5%3,379 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 69STO95.3%3,669 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 26STO95.2%1,113 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 100STO94.7%1,542 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO94.1%6,685 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO93.9%2,562 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3893.8%2,662 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO93%1,013 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 40STO92.8%1,565 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 1358.5%1,259 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3259.1%815 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3163.4%4,331 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2063.5%4,949 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6263.7%4,924 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2466.7%7,736 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1466.8%8,766 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 11067.8%6,874 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 45STO67.9%1,375 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4768.2%1,159 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.