Previous measure
Previous measure, October 25: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 25, 2026: 74.5% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 26, 2026, 5:13 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 74.5%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 160,318
- Routes measured
- 69
Oct 25, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-18–2026-10-18
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad / db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef, dd66f011-17ec-4399-858c-01706b8c5a64
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- -2.2 °C to 18.5 °C
- Strongest gust
- 33 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 153100%147 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3399.4%1,908 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 16598.1%368 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6797.5%840 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18997.3%993 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3696%1,669 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 16195.7%1,576 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4994.6%390 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8694.1%2,049 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3592.8%1,617 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 16344.4%1,612 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5146.5%3,056 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5347.7%3,680 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1148%4,451 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1249.7%5,648 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1856%2,946 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1956.6%2,368 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 658.2%5,138 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2060.9%2,832 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9061.9%3,232 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 26, 2026, 5:13 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 26, 2026, 5:13 a.m.