Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 22, 2026: 75.3% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 23, 2026, 6:13 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 75.3%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 320,138
- Routes measured
- 143
Oct 22, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-15–2026-10-15
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: adf8b6f0-5fb9-4eca-bcb9-68f5235502fc, db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef / 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32, ece8fa79-2586-440c-9315-8c39b470256f
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 0.2 °C to 15.7 °C
- Strongest gust
- 37 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 153100%313 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 78STO99.4%689 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9499.2%132 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO98.7%228 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4595.7%966 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3895.4%2,108 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17394.5%1,898 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19794.4%321 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO92.7%137 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 69STO91.7%649 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 27STO0%172 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 45STO12.5%265 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 26STO25.3%154 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 40STO26.4%231 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 25STO27.5%207 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2327.7%296 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 95STO31%465 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO36.2%345 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1738.7%416 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO46.3%1,268 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 23, 2026, 6:13 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 23, 2026, 6:13 a.m.