Previous measure
Previous measure, October 4: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 4, 2026: 76.8% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 5, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 76.8%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 203,328
- Routes measured
- 94
Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-09-27–2026-09-27
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8 / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0.7 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 2.1 °C to 17.3 °C
- Strongest gust
- 45 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 11 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 6799.5%839 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 16299.2%515 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3398.2%1,902 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 69STO97%823 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 64STO96.6%978 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 66STO96.1%1,569 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO95.5%1,204 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3995.2%3,043 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO95%179 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3594.7%1,700 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 1137.2%4,324 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 744%5,867 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1245.1%5,340 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5148.1%3,112 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5353.7%3,687 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 654.3%5,063 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8154.7%4,424 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1856%2,877 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9057.3%3,289 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2059.9%2,864 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 5, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 5, 2026, 5:12 a.m.