Previous measure
Previous measure, August 17: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Aug 17, 2026: 81.5% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 81.5%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 87,964
- Routes measured
- 131
Aug 17, 2026 to Aug 17, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-08-10–2026-08-10
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- trace
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 15 °C to 26.1 °C
- Strongest gust
- Not available
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 12 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
All qualifying routes in this sample
- 98STO100%156 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 69STO98%969 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO97.9%1,844 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 78STO97.8%1,295 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 64STO97.4%1,344 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 97STO97.3%2,593 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18STO96.8%157 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 73STO96.4%1,039 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 58STO96.1%385 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 87STO95.5%849 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 65STO95.1%1,629 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO95.1%771 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 93STO94.1%437 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 76STO93.7%1,465 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 49STO93.2%3,262 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 95STO92.9%1,063 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 68STO92.8%1,202 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 67STO92.8%2,864 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 39STO92.7%2,948 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 85STO92.5%783 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO91.9%247 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 66STO91.6%2,680 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 63STO91.5%1,173 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 100STO91.4%625 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 62STO91.3%1,744 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 71STO91.1%2,375 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 27STO90.9%342 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 50STO90.7%344 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 35STO90.5%2,326 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 800STO88.8%3,599 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 37STO87.7%1,947 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO87.5%417 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 31STO86.2%3,340 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 400STO86.1%3,600 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 200STO84.4%858 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 38STO82.7%2,248 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 55STO82%5,058 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 23STO81.9%371 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 59STO81.9%3,971 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 36STO80.4%705 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 33STO77.7%3,850 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 40STO74.5%670 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 34STO72.8%3,526 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 32STO71.1%3,582 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 41STO71%504 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 26STO69.6%398 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO67.1%1,984 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 29STO67.1%231 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO65.8%754 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 47STO64.4%264 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 25STO62.7%485 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 28STO53.5%258 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 45STO50.6%607 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 7440.9%127 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5739.8%123 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1028%157 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 20STO26.8%138 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5324.4%123 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 11222.1%149 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5121%181 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4810.9%276 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 757.9%101 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 982.6%193 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 900%257 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 140%194 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 440%191 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 310%175 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 350%143 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1110%138 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 850%135 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1100%125 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 190%125 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 110%116 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 120%111 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.