Scheduled service and available evidence
Evidence period: 2026年10月29日 – 2026年11月4日
1
Trips in the published timetable marked cancelled without qualifying later matching vehicle observations in our archive. This does not prove the trip did not operate. Trips with any notice: 1.
2
2 of 166 trips with a usable feed window (1.2%) had no matching position.
These counts may overlap; do not add them. A missing position confirms neither cancellation nor a no-show.
164 with position · 2 to investigate · 36 excluded · 202 scheduled trips
Current feed. No explicit notice for this route in the current feed; this does not guarantee service. Observed: 2026年11月5日 20:22.
0 of 3 endpoint departures scheduled in the next four hours carried an explicit cancellation at the last check.
36 scheduled trips were excluded from the position check for feed or identity gaps.
Published position coverage: 164 / 202 (81.2%). This is not a delivered-service rate. 7 service days in this source.
Timetables retained before the service day: 7 / 7 requested days · 0 missing days.
Historical calculation: 2026年11月5日 19:08
Method: explicit provider notices, archived trip windows and retained timetables. Predictions and positions alone do not prove that a bus ran or was missed.
Predictions against the timetable
92.7%
of eligible provider predictions were within five minutes of the timetable.
Share of predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Only eligible hours are shown; an absent hour does not mean zero.
These are provider predictions, not independently measured arrivals. Missing evidence is not counted as on-time service.
Calculated: 2026年11月6日
6 partial-capture days not counted.
20 hourly cohorts meet the thresholds of 30 predictions and 5 service days. Hourly thresholds are assessed separately from the route-wide aggregate.
Improvement or decline requires comparable periods. This single result cannot establish a trend.
Last 28 days, 2026年10月8日 to 2026年11月4日: 21 days counted.
2 days left out because the live feed was only partly recorded or its trip numbers did not match the timetable: 2026年10月8日, 2026年10月12日.
0% of back-to-back buses on this route arrived bunched together: 6 of 8,866 pairs checked at stops in the last 28 days. When buses bunch, the wait after them is usually longer.
0% of pairs (8) had a long gap: more than 1.75 times the planned wait between them.
| 时段 | 已检查的配对 | 扎堆 | 间隔过长 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 清晨（凌晨4点至6点） | 811 | 0% (0) | 0% (0) |
| 早高峰(上午 6 点至 9 点) | 1,306 | 0% (0) | 0% (0) |
| 中午（上午9点至下午3点） | 4,482 | 0% (6) | 0% (6) |
| 下午高峰(下午3点至6点) | 1,677 | 0% (0) | 0% (2) |
| 晚间（晚上 6 点至 10 点） | 590 | 0% (0) | 0% (0) |
Slowest: STATION LORRAIN to LORRAIN/de CALUMET, 6.6 km/h actual against 14.2 km/h planned.
| 起点 | 到 | 距离 | 计划速度 | 实际速度 | 已测量的行程 | 缓慢行程 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STATION LORRAIN | LORRAIN/de CALUMET | 930 m | 14.2 km/h | 6.6 km/h | 412 | 58% |
| POB CHEVAL-BLANC | STATION LORRAIN arrêt d'arrivée | 3.8 km | 22 km/h | 21.6 km/h | 402 | 0% |
| MALONEY EST/de l'AÉROPORT | ATMEC/de l'AÉROPORT | 850 m | 20.7 km/h | 22.2 km/h | 458 | 2% |
| ATMEC/de l'AÉROPORT | POB CHEVAL-BLANC | 1.9 km | 21.5 km/h | 23.5 km/h | 456 | 0% |
| LORRAIN/de CALUMET | MALONEY EST/de l'AÉROPORT | 3.8 km | 34.9 km/h | 28.4 km/h | 438 | 10% |
慢行程是指用时至少为计划时间的 1.5 倍。
6 partial-capture days not counted.
2 scheduled trips with counted cancellation notices from 10月8日周四 to 11月4日周三.
Not counted: 0 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations and 0 for trips not in that day’s timetable.
取消次数最多的时段: 9时 (1), 10时 (1)
只有当 STO 针对该趟行程发布的通告给出原因时，才会显示原因。
Did not come (no bus seen, no notice), last 7 days: 2 of 166 trips we could check.
依据 STO 公交车报告的载客水平，统计最近八周的数据。如果有读数的班次中至少一半达到站位或更拥挤，该时段就标为通常拥挤。
过去八周内,没有任何时段通常很拥挤。
| 这条线路通常何时繁忙 | 工作日 | 星期六 | 每周日 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 早上6点前 | 通常有座位0% of 104 trips | 读数不足 | 读数不足 |
| 上午 6 点至 9 点 | 通常有座位9.7% of 238 trips | 读数不足 | 读数不足 |
| 上午9点至下午3点 | 通常有座位0.2% of 415 trips | 通常有座位0% of 44 trips | 通常有座位0% of 43 trips |
| 下午3点至6点 | 通常有座位22% of 245 trips | 通常有座位13% of 23 trips | 通常有座位8% of 25 trips |
| 晚上 6 点至 10 点 | 通常有座位6.5% of 184 trips | 通常有座位10% of 30 trips | 通常有座位0% of 29 trips |
| 晚上10点以后 | 通常有座位2.9% of 68 trips | 通常有座位0% of 14 trips | 通常有座位0% of 13 trips |
Based on 56 computed days.
结论
97% of predictions are within five minutes of the timetable in a typical sampled hour; the lowest sampled hour is 85%.
| What | 时间 | 已测量 | Scenario or next investigation |
|---|---|---|---|
| StrengthPredictions consistently close to timetable | 04:00 to 00:00 | 97% | Keep what works |
线路检查
这是我们所知情况的简短摘要。如果我们无法回答某个问题，会明确说明。
结论
在这个有日期的样本中，运营方的预测通常与时刻表接近。
93 in 100 eligible predictions were within 5 minutes of the timetable · 19,997 predictions checked预测样本量: 样本较大
Based on 19,997 eligible provider predictions over 22 measured days, from 2026年10月7日 to 2026年11月4日.
Updated 2026年11月5日 19:32
这些是预测时间与时刻表之间反复出现的差异，不是独立测得的服务故障。它们使用与上述结果相同的合格预测，但按站点而不是按时段分组，所以两个列表不一定逐行一致。
目前还没有重复出现的预测差异时段达到数据门槛。
目前没有与这条线路相符的官方通知。
各站预测差异
49 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (553 predictions over 25 days).
打开此站点这些是按路线给出的服务方预测，并与时刻表作了对比。它们显示的是某地某时重复出现的预测差异，不是实测到达时间，也不能说明原因。
展开一个时间段,可查看每个服务日、预定班次、数据缺口、观测到的公开车辆编号,以及本摘要背后的确切数字。
时刻表变更检查
这是将当前保留的官方时刻表与上一个保留版本进行比较。时刻表变更说明的是原定计划，并不能证明某个班次确实运行过。
Current published schedule began 2026年11月3日
我们会查看新时刻表开始后的第一个星期一，以及提前一周的星期一。所有数字都来自下方列出的、已保留的官方 GTFS 版本。
所选日期中，至少有一个日期采用了新增或取消的按日历日期安排的服务。请将其视为节假日或特别服务的情况，而不是普通工作日的增长。
已核对的服务日期: 2026年11月2日
Operator calendar-date records: 1 added · 0 removed
数据源指纹: 540f8e4e98d50320 · 7a8023af-fdc6-4276-bed6-2e3d7bd7bb74
已核对的服务日期: 2026年11月9日
Operator calendar-date records: 1 added · 0 removed
数据源指纹: 64b436d79ab51a76 · 623ad8b0-ad29-4d70-b8e6-e594a396233e
我们会比较变更前后各14天内已确认的到站情况。只有变更前后两边都至少有7个服务日和200次到站记录时，我们才会发布比较结果。
Still collecting: before has 10,955 arrivals over 13 days; after has 1,207 arrivals over 2 days. No improvement or decline is claimed yet.
校验和可让任何人核实是哪份留存的时刻表得出这些数量。数量变化并不能说明原因、取消、运营方的决定或对乘客的影响。
我们将每个预定到达班次的最后一个合格服务方预测与官方时刻表进行比较。这些不是独立测量的到达时间。一项结果至少需要 200 条合格预测。这里采用面向乘客的目标：误差在 5 分钟内。
公开数据源不提供可靠的乘客人数，也不提供乘客被错过的事件。缺少车辆位置本身，并不能证明班次已取消、未出车、提前折返，也不能说明原因。
初步结果,已公布的数据
每个小时，我们都会把某个预定到站班次最后一次符合条件的运营方预测与时刻表进行比较。“5 分钟内”指的是这个预测差异，不是实际测得的到站时间，也不能证明公交车已经运行。
佐证时间段: 2026年10月7日 to 2026年11月4日
| 小时 | 准点 | 中位数 | 第95百分位 | 数据证据 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:00 | 97.3% | 2.2 min late | 3.2 min late | 185 · 7 days |
| 05:00 | 98.8% | 0.2 min late | 2.7 min late | 603 · 8 days |
| 06:00 | 98.6% | 0.7 min late | 3 min late | 499 · 8 days |
| 07:00 | 87.6% | 2.6 min late | 6.1 min late | 420 · 7 days |
| 08:00 | 93.0% | 0.9 min late | 5.3 min late | 646 · 11 days |
| 09:00 | 98.1% | 0.8 min late | 3.5 min late | 721 · 12 days |
| 10:00 | 93.1% | 0.7 min late | 9.3 min late | 564 · 10 days |
| 11:00 | 98.9% | 0.7 min late | 3.2 min late | 714 · 13 days |
| 12:00 | 97.1% | 0.7 min late | 4.4 min late | 696 · 12 days |
| 13:00 | 99.1% | 0.6 min late | 3.4 min late | 667 · 12 days |
| 14:00 | 99.3% | 0.4 min late | 3.3 min late | 586 · 13 days |
| 15:00 | 92.0% | 0.9 min late | 5.3 min late | 665 · 12 days |
| 16:00 | 85.6% | 0.4 min late | 11.7 min late | 564 · 13 days |
| 17:00 | 88.4% | 2 min late | 6.4 min late | 782 · 12 days |
| 18:00 | 91.2% | 1.6 min late | 5.7 min late | 707 · 12 days |
| 19:00 | 85.3% | 2.2 min late | 6.2 min late | 348 · 9 days |
| 20:00 | 97.0% | 1.8 min late | 4.8 min late | 370 · 10 days |
| 21:00 | 98.7% | 0.7 min late | 3.3 min late | 384 · 10 days |
| 22:00 | 97.4% | 0.6 min late | 2.2 min late | 350 · 9 days |
| 23:00 | 96.4% | 1.1 min late | 4.6 min late | 390 · 10 days |
至少三个服务日内，还没有确认低于 70% 的重复模式。
164 / 202 scheduled trips published at least one position across 5 service days (81.2%).
这不是已确认的未发车。 缺少位置可能表示公交车被取消或漏班，也可能表示行程编号未分配，或运营方数据源有缺口。Otranspo 公布这一缺口，因为它对乘客很重要，同时我们会如实说明，不下定论。
Prediction check: the last eligible provider prediction no earlier than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival, counted once per trip, stop and scheduled Toronto calendar date. It is compared with the timetable, not an independently measured arrival. Trip-position check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. 来源和局限.
Dated service
The timetable, notices and what the live feed says are shown apart. Seeing a bus on the map does not prove you can board it.
November 4, 2026 · 34 trips in the retained timetable · retained notices; capture coverage unverified
In short: 25 with a matched position · 0 with no matching position (to investigate) · 9 with an unknown outcome.