77% of previsões de chegada de ônibus were within five minutes. Aos sábados were the weak spot.

Horários

Previsões atrasadas repetidas podem indicar um horário que vale a pena revisar. Verifique os registros reais de chegada e de despacho antes de decidir se o tempo de percurso precisa mudar.

Quem pode resolver

Um planejador de serviço

Quanto custa

Custo indisponível até que os efeitos sobre frota, mão de obra, recuperação e transferências sejam testados.

Operações

Uma grande variação nas previsões de chegada exige uma revisão operacional. Trânsito, despacho, embarque e elaboração do horário podem contribuir. Só com essas previsões, não é possível identificar a causa nem a solução.

Quem pode resolver

Operações e, muitas vezes, a própria via

Quanto custa

Custo indisponível até que a causa operacional e a solução sejam definidas.

Test more scheduled running time

Test additional scheduled running time for these hours. This pattern supports the scenario, but fleet, labour, recovery, transfer and cost effects require operator validation.

• 708:00 to 23:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  159.721 eligible predictions · 15 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 15 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1214:00 to 23:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  84.779 eligible predictions · 9 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 14 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1114:00 to 22:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  67.816 eligible predictions · 8 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 16 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1909:00 to 22:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  55.912 eligible predictions · 13 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 15 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 2014:00 to 00:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  43.993 eligible predictions · 10 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 11 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 5 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1208:00 to 13:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  53.876 eligible predictions · 5 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 12 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5314:00 to 19:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  40.569 eligible predictions · 5 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 14 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 7014:00 to 19:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  45.043 eligible predictions · 5 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 11 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 59STO14:00 to 20:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  38.299 eligible predictions · 6 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 9 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 2414:00 to 18:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  31.913 eligible predictions · 4 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 12 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1812:00 to 18:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  30.271 eligible predictions · 6 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 14 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5612:00 to 18:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 6 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  19.749 eligible predictions · 6 hours of the day · typically 6 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 15 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 6 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1108:00 to 11:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  30.307 eligible predictions · 3 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 12 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 52STO14:00 to 21:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 5 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  21.834 eligible predictions · 7 hours of the day · typically 5 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 17 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 5 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5308:00 to 11:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  22.103 eligible predictions · 3 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 9 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5608:00 to 11:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  12.753 eligible predictions · 3 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 11 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1808:00 to 10:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  9.684 eligible predictions · 2 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 12 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1819:00 to 21:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  10.634 eligible predictions · 2 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 10 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 52STO07:00 to 10:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  9.186 eligible predictions · 3 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 11 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 7021:00 to 23:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  9.943 eligible predictions · 2 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 8 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 2408:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  8.476 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 11 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5312:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  5.548 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 13 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 59STO09:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  5.182 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 8 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 2008:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  4.338 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 12 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 2422:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  3.414 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 8 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 1822:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  4.421 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 11 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 52STO12:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  3.109 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 12 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5619:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  1.812 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 14 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 2000:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 3 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  747 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 3 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 10 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 3 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 52STO00:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 5 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  270 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 5 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 8 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 5 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

• 5601:00

  The median final prediction here is more than 4 minutes later than the timetable. Test whether scheduled running time explains this; actual arrivals and the cause are not established.

  174 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 4 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 6 min later than the median · Unvalidated scenario to verify: about 4 min more scheduled running time, derived from the prediction median

Something other than the timetable

The prediction spread does not support a running-time change by itself. Test traffic, boarding load, crossings, terminal dispatch, vehicle assignment and operator availability against operational records; those cause data are not available here.

• 2016:00 to 18:00

  The 95th-percentile prediction here is about 23 minutes later than the median prediction. Actual arrival spread is not measured.

  8.684 eligible predictions · 2 hours of the day · typically 5 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 23 min later than the median

• 2416:00

  The 95th-percentile prediction here is about 26 minutes later than the median prediction. Actual arrival spread is not measured.

  7.822 eligible predictions · 1 hours of the day · typically 5 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 26 min later than the median

• 52STO16:00 to 18:00

  The 95th-percentile prediction here is about 21 minutes later than the median prediction. Actual arrival spread is not measured.

  6.044 eligible predictions · 2 hours of the day · typically 6 min late · 95th-percentile prediction 21 min later than the median

• 59STO16:00

  At 16:00, 45 of predictions are within five minutes of the timetable, against 74 the rest of the day. This identifies a prediction pattern, not a confirmed service failure.

  7.518 eligible predictions · 45% against 74% the rest of the day

• 2415:00

  At 15:00, 50 of predictions are within five minutes of the timetable, against 75 the rest of the day. This identifies a prediction pattern, not a confirmed service failure.

  8.333 eligible predictions · 50% against 75% the rest of the day

• 5308:00

  At 08:00, 50 of predictions are within five minutes of the timetable, against 72 the rest of the day. This identifies a prediction pattern, not a confirmed service failure.

  8.386 eligible predictions · 50% against 72% the rest of the day

• 5615:00

  At 15:00, 29 of predictions are within five minutes of the timetable, against 68 the rest of the day. This identifies a prediction pattern, not a confirmed service failure.

  4.599 eligible predictions · 29% against 68% the rest of the day

• 7015:00

  At 15:00, 49 of predictions are within five minutes of the timetable, against 73 the rest of the day. This identifies a prediction pattern, not a confirmed service failure.

  7.148 eligible predictions · 49% against 73% the rest of the day