- مطالعه
- روش‌شناسی داده‌ها
- How late the worst 5 in 100 settled predictions were
Sort selected final predicted delays from least to greatest. This is the delay where about 5 predictions in 100 were equally late or later in the published route window.
- تعریف
- Sort selected final predicted delays from least to greatest. This is the delay where about 5 predictions in 100 were equally late or later in the published route window.
- فرمول
- PERCENTILE_DISC(0.95) ordered by settled delay seconds.
- واحدها
- seconds, displayed in minutes
- جامعه آماری
- The same selected final provider predictions used by the on-time percentage.
- بازهٔ اندازه‌گیری
- Rolling 30-day route-health window.
- پوشش
- Matched published predictions only; the discrete percentile selects a final predicted delay value.
- صلاحیت انتشار
- Regular comparable bus routes with publishable final provider-prediction evidence; merged route variants with incompatible distributions withhold this percentile.
- دامنه
- Each route’s settled final provider predictions in the rolling 30-day route-health window.
- این عدد چه چیزی را می‌تواند پشتیبانی کند
- An upper-tail final-prediction schedule difference: about five selected predictions in one hundred were this late or later. This is not an independently measured arrival.
- منابع و شناسه‌ها
- روش · Settled provider-prediction reliability method
last-prediction-within-ten-minutes-v1 - API فعلی · Current network reliability public API
reliability-evidence
- روش · Settled provider-prediction reliability method
وضعیت اجرا
- منبع پیشنهادی
- در این نامزد منبع اجرا شده است.
- انتشار عمومی
- نسخه اصلاح‌شده معیار در منبع اجرا شده است. استقرار عمومی در محیط اصلی و تأیید آن هنوز ثبت نشده است.
پیش از ارجاع به این عدد، لطفاً وضعیت آن را بخوانید.
The final provider-prediction calculation is implemented in this source candidate. Public production verification for this corrected version is still not recorded.
موارد مستثنا
Predictions more than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival are excluded, and delays outside ±90 minutes are removed as timetable-wrap outliers.
OC Transpo rail is excluded because the operator does not publish realtime rail observations in the feed used by this method.
عدم قطعیت و تفسیر
The result describes matched published predictions, not every operated trip. Feed gaps and trip-matching limits can reduce coverage.
Current network evidence is recomputed and is not stored here as an immutable historical snapshot.
شواهد فعلی
تاریخچه تغییرات
برای این نسخه از معیار، هیچ تغییر مهم ثبت‌شده‌ای وجود ندارد.