Previous measure
Previous measure, week of Sep 21 – 27: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Weekly report ending Sep 27, 2026: 75.9% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 7 of 7 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 75.9%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 2,242,298
- Routes measured
- 148
Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Preceding equal window · 2026-09-14–2026-09-20
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
- Mon, Sep 21No notable weather
- Tue, Sep 22No notable weather
- Wed, Sep 23No notable weather
- Thu, Sep 24No notable weather
- Fri, Sep 25No notable weather
- Sat, Sep 26No notable weather
- Sun, Sep 27No notable weather
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 98STO100%767 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8497.2%652 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9395.5%9,415 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 297STO94.7%958 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO93.8%12,610 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17393.8%12,906 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO93.7%2,219 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO93.7%4,936 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6793.4%8,826 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO92.4%1,518 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 45STO30.5%3,051 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 47STO40.7%1,519 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO43.4%14,839 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 29STO46%1,156 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO48.9%3,743 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1749.7%2,234 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1352.4%4,481 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 23STO53.7%1,840 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 41STO55.1%2,287 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3255.5%2,746 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.