Previous measure
Previous measure, week of Sep 7 – 13: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Weekly report ending Sep 13, 2026: 75.4% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 7 of 7 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 75.4%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 2,058,215
- Routes measured
- 150
Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Preceding equal window · 2026-08-31–2026-09-06
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
- Mon, Sep 7No notable weather
- Tue, Sep 8No notable weather
- Wed, Sep 9Rain 19.6 mm
- Thu, Sep 10No notable weather
- Fri, Sep 11No notable weather
- Sat, Sep 12Visibility down to 0.8 km
- Sun, Sep 13No notable weather
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 139100%136 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8499.4%522 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9497.3%528 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 98STO96.8%657 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 12596.5%543 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9394.5%9,175 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO94%1,440 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO93.3%11,639 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17392.4%12,458 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 62STO91.8%7,489 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 1742.6%1,762 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 29STO44.7%915 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 45STO46.5%2,456 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 23STO48.2%1,426 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 41STO49.2%1,886 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1349.3%3,534 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3250.2%2,248 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 93STO51.2%2,145 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5653.4%14,889 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 27STO55.5%1,538 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.