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What happened
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Previous measure

Previous measure, week of Aug 24 – 30: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.

Frozen publication

Weekly report ending Aug 30, 2026: 77.7% of predictions within five minutes.

Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.

  • 6 of 7 calendar days have completed rollups
  • Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8

Across the network

Predicted within five minutes
77.7%
Previous period —
Eligible trip-stop predictions
791,583
Routes measured
150

Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026

Previous period: not published for this edition

How this figure was compared

Matched prediction comparison

This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.

Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.

Preceding equal window · 2026-08-17–2026-08-23

Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2

Current

Eligible raw rate: —

Matched comparison rate: —

— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold

Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing

Baseline

Eligible raw rate: —

Matched comparison rate: —

— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold

Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing

A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing

Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method

Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing

    Timetable feed versions: — / —

    Weather context

    Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.

    • Mon, Aug 24No notable weather
    • Tue, Aug 25Visibility down to 0.4 km
    • Wed, Aug 26No notable weather
    • Thu, Aug 27No notable weather
    • Fri, Aug 28No notable weather
    • Sat, Aug 29No notable weather
    • Sun, Aug 30No notable weather

    Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗

    Dates absent from the figures

    • Aug 26, 2026

    No completed rollup exists for these dates. They are shown as missing and are not treated as zero or as good service.

    Most reliable this period

    Furthest from the timetable

    Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.

    Cite this publication

    Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.

    Calculation method
    settled-arrival-period-report-v8
    Evidence available through
    Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.