Previous measure
Previous measure, week of Aug 17 – 23: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Weekly report ending Aug 23, 2026: 78.8% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 7 of 7 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 78.8%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 502,681
- Routes measured
- 138
Aug 17, 2026 to Aug 23, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Preceding equal window · 2026-08-10–2026-08-16
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
- Mon, Aug 17No notable weather
- Tue, Aug 18No notable weather
- Wed, Aug 19No notable weather
- Thu, Aug 20No notable weather
- Fri, Aug 21No notable weather
- Sat, Aug 22No notable weather
- Sun, Aug 23No notable weather
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 98STO99%576 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO95.6%1,917 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 69STO94.7%6,114 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 58STO94.4%2,017 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO94.2%11,113 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 78STO93.1%7,185 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO92.8%4,455 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 64STO92.4%8,833 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO91.9%1,435 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 62STO91.8%8,313 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 190%522 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 850%719 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 310%783 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 900%1,068 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 350.2%572 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 982.4%868 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 143.3%823 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 443.5%858 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1103.6%588 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 635.3%608 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.