Previous measure
Previous measure, October 31: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 31, 2026: 72.9% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Nov 1, 2026, 5:13 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 72.9%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 231,702
- Routes measured
- 94
Oct 31, 2026 to Oct 31, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-24–2026-10-24
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: 6ee8491d-8f94-4122-a67b-ef228d9e0945, cdda76b5-d299-4755-bb81-ca8cd4d16647 / 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad, b6dda873-b797-49b3-a4a6-542fad672eef
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- -2.1 °C to 8.9 °C
- Strongest gust
- 37 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 197100%102 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18997.6%922 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6797.2%1,011 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4996.3%400 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3595%2,181 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4595%644 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9395%1,280 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 11694.3%1,043 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO93.2%147 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 64STO92.9%887 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 5335.8%3,820 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1239.9%6,763 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 742.2%7,391 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 645.1%7,348 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5146.4%3,399 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1147.6%5,031 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1848.6%3,450 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8148.9%4,993 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1950.5%2,711 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2050.8%3,209 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Nov 1, 2026, 5:13 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Nov 1, 2026, 5:13 a.m.