Previous measure
Previous measure, October 28: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 28, 2026: 80.8% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 29, 2026, 6:13 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 80.8%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 341,481
- Routes measured
- 147
Oct 28, 2026 to Oct 28, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-21–2026-10-21
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad, debdbb8c-5a7b-407a-9f7b-52db7d3c7b85 / db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef, e0f8038a-45e7-4a47-99c2-308c0f049f72
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- trace
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- -3 °C to 8.3 °C
- Strongest gust
- Not available
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 9 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 98STO100%151 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 84100%135 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 47STO98.7%224 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO97.8%1,339 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17397.2%1,952 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 62STO97%1,390 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO96.8%313 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO96.7%631 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 36STO96.2%528 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6796%1,411 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 2322%305 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1735.4%449 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 45STO35.6%365 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO38%597 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19851.4%352 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1352.8%927 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3254.7%576 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO58.2%1,613 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 41STO61.7%329 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 29STO63.3%150 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 29, 2026, 6:13 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 29, 2026, 6:13 a.m.