Previous measure
Previous measure, October 27: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 27, 2026: 80.1% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 28, 2026, 6:13 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 80.1%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 350,664
- Routes measured
- 148
Oct 27, 2026 to Oct 27, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-20–2026-10-20
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: 2ce66ec0-4b13-470f-ad5e-045e7bbe5fab, 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad / db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef, e582db1b-46c9-4756-8b25-9782f02ba21b
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- -2.6 °C to 7.3 °C
- Strongest gust
- Not available
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 297STO100%116 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 98STO99.4%162 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9499.2%132 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 15399%314 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO98%355 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 93STO96.5%514 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17394.8%1,953 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 67STO94.5%2,557 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO94.2%740 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2694%417 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 45STO32.2%566 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2333.1%275 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1735.6%450 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO41.7%645 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 29STO46.2%195 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1348.2%960 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 41STO49%361 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO49.5%1,780 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 40STO55.7%630 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19858.1%277 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 28, 2026, 6:13 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 28, 2026, 6:13 a.m.