Previous measure
Previous measure, October 13: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 13, 2026: 78.4% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 14, 2026, 1:12 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 78.4%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 275,411
- Routes measured
- 87
Oct 13, 2026 to Oct 13, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-06–2026-10-06
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32 / ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
Rain 24.2 mm
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 24.2 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 5 °C to 7.5 °C
- Strongest gust
- 39 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 23 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 84100%136 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6697.9%485 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17395.3%1,954 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9494.7%132 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2693.9%395 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 15393.6%295 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19793.3%300 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8792.6%1,975 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6792.4%1,410 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 10592%2,500 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 1740.8%434 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19845.9%351 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3248.3%576 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2350.6%314 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1355.8%927 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5661.3%2,394 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1964.5%3,115 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 766.6%8,419 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2466.8%5,732 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3167.5%3,307 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 14, 2026, 1:12 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 14, 2026, 1:12 p.m.