Previous measure
Previous measure, October 7: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 7, 2026: 76.6% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 8, 2026, 6:12 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 76.6%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 360,186
- Routes measured
- 147
Oct 7, 2026 to Oct 7, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-09-30–2026-09-30
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8 / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 1.3 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 5.9 °C to 17.1 °C
- Strongest gust
- 48 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 14 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 84100%137 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9499.2%132 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 69STO98.7%1,118 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5897.7%2,072 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO96.8%2,075 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 98STO96.3%163 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 66STO96.1%2,826 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 63STO96%1,309 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO95.8%263 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6795.3%1,402 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 45STO21.3%581 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 47STO28.5%319 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2333.8%352 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 20STO35.5%138 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 23STO35.8%386 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 29STO38.2%246 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO42.5%2,074 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 27STO44.9%394 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3246.1%575 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1346.7%907 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 8, 2026, 6:12 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 8, 2026, 6:12 a.m.