Previous measure
Previous measure, October 6: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 6, 2026: 77.4% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 7, 2026, 6:12 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 77.4%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 360,314
- Routes measured
- 148
Oct 6, 2026 to Oct 6, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-09-29–2026-09-29
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8 / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- trace
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 2.5 °C to 12.7 °C
- Strongest gust
- 45 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 84100%137 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 297STO99%192 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2697.9%421 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 62STO97.3%1,756 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9497%132 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17395.8%1,928 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO95.4%262 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9394.9%1,376 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO94.7%832 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO93.9%427 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 45STO22.2%630 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 47STO28.9%322 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 23STO28.9%384 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2331%352 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 29STO36.5%244 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 41STO37.4%462 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1738.6%446 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1340.8%932 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 40STO50.5%638 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 26STO51.7%400 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 7, 2026, 6:12 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 7, 2026, 6:12 a.m.