Previous measure
Previous measure, October 5: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 5, 2026: 83.4% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 6, 2026, 6:12 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 83.4%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 276,376
- Routes measured
- 87
Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 5, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-09-28–2026-09-28
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8 / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
Gusts to 63 km/h
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- trace
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 2.7 °C to 12.8 °C
- Strongest gust
- 63 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 84100%135 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9399.5%1,404 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9499.2%132 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6799.2%1,411 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17397.7%1,952 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 11297.2%2,851 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 15396.7%305 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3896.4%2,075 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6095.5%1,803 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 16894.1%4,344 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 2335.5%352 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1355%880 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3257.3%576 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1758.2%414 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5670.5%2,488 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1270.9%8,427 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3171.5%3,304 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9272.4%1,560 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4873.2%4,935 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2074.1%3,549 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 6, 2026, 6:12 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:12 a.m.