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What happened
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Previous measure

Previous measure, October 3: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.

The edition for this period

Service reports
Replay

Frozen publication

Daily report ending Oct 3, 2026: 69.1% of predictions within five minutes.

Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.

  • 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
  • Published on Oct 4, 2026, 2:13 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8

Across the network

Predicted within five minutes
69.1%
Previous period —
Eligible trip-stop predictions
233,368
Routes measured
96

Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 3, 2026

Previous period: not published for this edition

How this figure was compared

Matched prediction comparison

This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.

Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.

Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-09-26–2026-09-26

Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2

Current

Eligible raw rate: —

Matched comparison rate: —

— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold

Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing

Baseline

Eligible raw rate: —

Matched comparison rate: —

— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold

Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing

A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing

Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method

Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing

    Timetable feed versions: ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8 / —

    Weather context

    Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.

    No notable weather

    Snow
    0 cm
    Rain
    0 mm
    Snow on the ground
    Not available
    Low and high
    2.5 °C to 16.5 °C
    Strongest gust
    32 km/h

    Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.

    Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗

    Most reliable this period

    Furthest from the timetable

    Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.

    Cite this publication

    Published on Oct 4, 2026, 2:13 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.

    Calculation method
    settled-arrival-period-report-v8
    Evidence available through
    Oct 4, 2026, 2:13 a.m.
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