Previous measure
Previous measure, September 27: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Sep 27, 2026: 74.9% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 74.9%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 205,422
- Routes measured
- 94
Sep 27, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-09-20–2026-09-20
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- trace
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 12.1 °C to 21.1 °C
- Strongest gust
- 55 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 10 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 49100%390 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17399.5%1,541 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO97.6%414 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9397%1,266 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 69STO96.4%803 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 97STO96.2%2,263 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO95.8%1,204 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 78STO95.7%654 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 11695.1%942 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 64STO94.7%1,008 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 5338.6%3,708 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5138.9%3,064 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1142.3%4,554 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1943.1%2,432 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1245.3%5,548 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO51.6%2,184 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1852.6%2,962 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 16355.3%1,461 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9055.7%3,381 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 757.7%6,355 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.