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What happened
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Previous measure

Previous measure, September 25: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.

The edition for this period

Service reports
Replay

Frozen publication

Daily report ending Sep 25, 2026: 78.2% of predictions within five minutes.

Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.

  • 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
  • Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8

Across the network

Predicted within five minutes
78.2%
Previous period —
Eligible trip-stop predictions
358,753
Routes measured
148

Sep 25, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Previous period: not published for this edition

How this figure was compared

Matched prediction comparison

This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.

Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.

Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-09-18–2026-09-18

Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2

Current

Eligible raw rate: —

Matched comparison rate: —

— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold

Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing

Baseline

Eligible raw rate: —

Matched comparison rate: —

— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold

Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing

A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing

Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method

Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing

    Timetable feed versions: — / —

    Weather context

    Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.

    No notable weather

    Snow
    0 cm
    Rain
    0 mm
    Snow on the ground
    Not available
    Low and high
    5.8 °C to 23.8 °C
    Strongest gust
    Not available

    Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.

    Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗

    Most reliable this period

    Furthest from the timetable

    Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.

    Cite this publication

    Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.

    Calculation method
    settled-arrival-period-report-v8
    Evidence available through
    Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.
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