Previous measure
Previous measure, September 24: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Sep 24, 2026: 74.9% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 74.9%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 363,439
- Routes measured
- 148
Sep 24, 2026 to Sep 24, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-09-17–2026-09-17
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 4 °C to 20.1 °C
- Strongest gust
- 41 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 98STO100%165 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8499.3%136 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 78STO95.1%1,377 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17395.1%1,953 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3894.7%2,068 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2694%420 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 297STO93.7%191 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO93.7%253 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 74STO93.5%108 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5892.9%2,056 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 45STO20.2%625 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO33.7%2,016 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 41STO35.3%513 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 47STO43.7%277 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 25STO44.2%498 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 27STO44.5%391 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 23STO45.4%355 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1345.5%864 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 93STO46%556 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 29STO47.1%244 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.