Previous measure
Previous measure, September 18: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Sep 18, 2026: 80.2% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 80.2%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 360,767
- Routes measured
- 147
Sep 18, 2026 to Sep 18, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-09-11–2026-09-11
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 7.9 °C to 18.8 °C
- Strongest gust
- 39 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 84100%126 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 74STO100%108 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18STO98.1%159 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18997.5%2,660 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO97.5%2,145 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4597.4%941 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 93STO97.1%519 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 71STO96.8%2,533 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9396%1,404 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO95.7%186 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 2324.7%352 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1747.1%414 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3253.4%549 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5653.6%2,420 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1361.8%951 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO63%2,181 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1865.1%3,878 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1465.7%6,103 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 966.5%1,915 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 34STO67.3%3,777 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.