Previous measure
Previous measure, September 10: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Sep 10, 2026: 74.2% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 74.2%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 360,549
- Routes measured
- 148
Sep 10, 2026 to Sep 10, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-09-03–2026-09-03
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 9.3 °C to 23.1 °C
- Strongest gust
- 54 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 8499.3%138 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9497.7%132 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17397.5%1,949 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 98STO94.5%164 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 15394.4%306 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 297STO93.7%190 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18993%2,639 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4592.5%871 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 62STO91.8%1,851 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 39STO91.4%3,158 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 1735.2%415 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 41STO36%461 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 23STO39.7%310 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5643.8%2,425 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 45STO45.3%576 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1347.5%840 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 27STO49.2%364 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO49.3%647 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3249.5%576 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1550.9%1,683 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.