Previous measure
Previous measure, September 2: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Sep 2, 2026: 81.9% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 81.9%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 97,466
- Routes measured
- 147
Sep 2, 2026 to Sep 2, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-08-26–2026-08-26
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. A comparison period is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. A comparison period is missing
A matched difference is withheld: A comparison period is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. A comparison period is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
Rain 29.1 mm, Visibility down to 0.8 km
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 29.1 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- Not available
- Strongest gust
- Not available
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 11 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 28STO100%116 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 26STO99%197 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 63STO99%287 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 47STO98.8%169 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2398.5%132 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 85STO98.2%381 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 73STO98.1%269 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19798.1%106 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 25STO97.5%201 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9297.4%379 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 45STO50.6%253 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO51.1%237 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4958.2%201 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2659.3%145 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3260%215 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1461.1%1,593 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3363.2%714 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6265%943 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 93STO65.8%278 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1367.5%369 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.